Serie A · 2023

Fiorentina 1–0 Torino · Serie A

1–0Historical match

Torino

LWDWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fiorentina won 1–0.

Shots
126
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
0.550.34
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fiorentina beat Torino 1–0. Recorded in this match (Fiorentina – Torino): shots 12–6, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 0.55–0.34, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Torino's recent record differs from the season

weak

Torino's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.83 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Torino show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Torino's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.6 shots/match ▲ShotsFiorentina · Torino10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFiorentinaTorinoBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match10.6 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against10.2 shots/match10.6 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots6 shotsFiorentina 12 shots, Torino 6 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsFiorentina 3 shots, Torino 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.55 xG0.34 xGFiorentina 0.55 xG, Torino 0.34 xG
  • Possession52%48%Fiorentina 52%, Torino 48%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersFiorentina 4 corners, Torino 2 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls15 foulsFiorentina 11 fouls, Torino 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Alfred Duncan · Fiorentina · 36′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCristiano Biraghi · Fiorentina · 71′ · 0.01 xG · on targetNikola Milenković · Fiorentina · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLucas Beltrán · Fiorentina · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRolando Mandragora · Fiorentina · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDuván Zapata · Torino · 25′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDuván Zapata · Torino · 37′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedChristian Kouamé · Fiorentina · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedChristian Kouamé · Fiorentina · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGiacomo Bonaventura · Fiorentina · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGiacomo Bonaventura · Fiorentina · 61′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Tameze · Torino · 76′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIvan Ilić · Torino · 6′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Ikoné · Fiorentina · 43′ · 0.06 xG · on targetRiccardo Sottil · Fiorentina · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedPietro Pellegri · Torino · 1′ · 0.08 xG · on targetValentino Lazaro · Torino · 37′ · 0.09 xG · on targetLuca Ranieri · Fiorentina · 83′ · 0.20 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fiorentina: 12 shots, 3 on target, 0.55 xG. Torino: 6 shots, 3 on target, 0.34 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Luca Ranieri · Fiorentina · 83′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fiorentina 0.55 xG · Torino 0.34 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Fiorentina
1Draws
2Torino
Torino — Fiorentina · Serie A1–1
Fiorentina — Torino · Serie A0–1
Torino — Fiorentina · Serie A4–0
Fiorentina — Torino · Serie A2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fiorentina favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Torino in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fiorentina18 matchesTorino18 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/180.83 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed18/181 goal/match
1.21 xG/match ▲Expected goals18/180.98 xG/match
13.6 shots/match ▲Shots18/1810.6 shots/match
4.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target18/183.22 shots/match
57.2% ●Possession18/1851.4%
4.83 corners/match ●Corners18/184.39 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls18/1812.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 29 Dec 2023, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required