Serie A · 2023

Roma 2–1 Hellas Verona · Serie A

Roma

LWLDL
2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Roma won 2–1.

Shots
912
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
0.921.17
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Roma beat Hellas Verona 2–1. Recorded in this match (Roma – Hellas Verona): shots 9–12, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 0.92–1.17, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Hellas Verona's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Hellas Verona's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.9 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.9 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Hellas Verona show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Hellas Verona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.4 shots/match ▲ShotsRoma · Hellas Verona11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRomaHellas VeronaBaseline
Shots12.4 shots/match11.1 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against10.2 shots/match13.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Roma have recorded the higher season possession share.

53.5% ●PossessionRoma · Hellas Verona44.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRomaHellas VeronaBaseline
Possession53.5%44.8%51.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots12 shotsRoma 9 shots, Hellas Verona 12 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsRoma 2 shots, Hellas Verona 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.92 xG1.17 xGRoma 0.92 xG, Hellas Verona 1.17 xG
  • Possession62%38%Roma 62%, Hellas Verona 38%
  • Corners1 corner2 cornersRoma 1 corner, Hellas Verona 2 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls12 foulsRoma 14 fouls, Hellas Verona 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Stephan El Shaarawy · Roma · 30′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFederico Bonazzoli · Hellas Verona · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMichael Folorunsho · Hellas Verona · 76′ · 0.02 xG · goalMichael Folorunsho · Hellas Verona · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedThomas Henry · Hellas Verona · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTomáš Suslov · Hellas Verona · 17′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSuat Serdar · Hellas Verona · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMilan Đurić · Hellas Verona · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGiangiacomo Magnani · Hellas Verona · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedStephan El Shaarawy · Roma · 71′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJuan Manuel Cruz · Hellas Verona · 80′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDean Huijsen · Roma · 68′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Suslov · Hellas Verona · 71′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDean Huijsen · Roma · 30′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSuat Serdar · Hellas Verona · 43′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Pellegrini · Roma · 54′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRomelu Lukaku · Roma · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRomelu Lukaku · Roma · 8′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Pellegrini · Roma · 25′ · 0.14 xG · goalRomelu Lukaku · Roma · 19′ · 0.29 xG · goalMilan Đurić · Hellas Verona · 66′ · 0.82 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Roma: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.90 xG. Hellas Verona: 12 shots, 3 on target, 1.20 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Romelu Lukaku · Roma · 19′Lorenzo Pellegrini · Roma · 25′Michael Folorunsho · Hellas Verona · 76′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Roma 0.90 xG · Hellas Verona 1.20 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Roma
1Draws
2Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona — Roma · Serie A2–1
Roma — Hellas Verona · Serie A1–0
Hellas Verona — Roma · Serie A1–3
Roma — Hellas Verona · Serie A2–2
Hellas Verona — Roma · Serie A3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Roma favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Hellas Verona in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Roma21 matchesHellas Verona21 matches
1.62 goals/match ▲Goals scored21/210.9 goals/match
1.19 goals/match ▲Goals allowed21/211.38 goals/match
1.37 xG/match ▲Expected goals21/210.91 xG/match
12.4 shots/match ▲Shots21/2111.1 shots/match
3.95 shots/match ▲Shots on target21/213.71 shots/match
53.5% ●Possession21/2144.8%
4.71 corners/match ●Corners21/213.57 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls21/2113.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Jan 2024, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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