Serie A · 2023

Bologna 2–0 Hellas Verona · Serie A

Bologna

DWWWW
2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bologna won 2–0.

Shots
127
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
1.590.62
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bologna beat Hellas Verona 2–0. Recorded in this match (Bologna – Hellas Verona): shots 12–7, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 1.59–0.62, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bologna's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bologna's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.8 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Bologna.

5.34 days ▲Rest daysBologna · Hellas Verona6.11 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBolognaHellas VeronaBaseline
Rest days5.34 days6.11 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Bologna have recorded the higher season possession share.

57.8% ●PossessionBologna · Hellas Verona44.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBolognaHellas VeronaBaseline
Possession57.8%44.3%51.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots7 shotsBologna 12 shots, Hellas Verona 7 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsBologna 3 shots, Hellas Verona 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.59 xG0.62 xGBologna 1.59 xG, Hellas Verona 0.62 xG
  • Possession58%42%Bologna 58%, Hellas Verona 42%
  • Corners11 corners1 cornerBologna 11 corners, Hellas Verona 1 corner
  • Fouls12 fouls15 foulsBologna 12 fouls, Hellas Verona 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Tomáš Suslov · Hellas Verona · 64′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Suslov · Hellas Verona · 3′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Zirkzee · Bologna · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedThomas Henry · Hellas Verona · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLewis Ferguson · Bologna · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTijjani Noslin · Hellas Verona · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Fabbian · Bologna · 72′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOndrej Duda · Hellas Verona · 18′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDan Ndoye · Bologna · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSam Beukema · Bologna · 89′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDan Ndoye · Bologna · 58′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMichel Aebischer · Bologna · 88′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedThomas Henry · Hellas Verona · 87′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 36′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedRemo Freuler · Bologna · 65′ · 0.22 xG · goalSam Beukema · Bologna · 53′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedThomas Henry · Hellas Verona · 89′ · 0.37 xG · on targetGiovanni Fabbian · Bologna · 27′ · 0.47 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bologna: 12 shots, 3 on target, 1.59 xG. Hellas Verona: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.63 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Giovanni Fabbian · Bologna · 27′Remo Freuler · Bologna · 65′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bologna 1.59 xG · Hellas Verona 0.63 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Bologna
2Draws
2Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona — Bologna · Serie A0–0
Hellas Verona — Bologna · Serie A2–1
Bologna — Hellas Verona · Serie A1–1
Hellas Verona — Bologna · Serie A2–1
Bologna — Hellas Verona · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bologna favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Hellas Verona in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bologna26 matchesHellas Verona26 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/260.88 goals/match
0.88 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/261.38 goals/match
1.25 xG/match ▲Expected goals26/260.93 xG/match
12.3 shots/match ▲Shots26/2611.2 shots/match
4.35 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/263.77 shots/match
57.8% ●Possession26/2644.3%
4.04 corners/match ●Corners26/263.31 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls26/2613.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 23 Feb 2024, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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