PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Salernitana 0–2 Monza · Serie A

0–2Historical match

Monza

LWDDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Monza won 0–2.

Shots
1117
Shots on target
37
Expected goals
0.942.4
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Monza beat Salernitana 2–0. Recorded in this match (Salernitana – Monza): shots 11–17, shots on target 3–7, expected goals 0.94–2.4, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Salernitana's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Salernitana's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.77 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.77 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Salernitana have a visible home split

moderate

Salernitana's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.6 shots/match10.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Monza have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.7%PossessionSalernitana · Monza● 54.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSalernitanaMonzaBaseline
Possession43.7%54.7%51.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots17 shotsSalernitana 11 shots, Monza 17 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots7 shotsSalernitana 3 shots, Monza 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.94 xG2.4 xGSalernitana 0.94 xG, Monza 2.4 xG
  • Possession41%59%Salernitana 41%, Monza 59%
  • Corners7 corners11 cornersSalernitana 7 corners, Monza 11 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls13 foulsSalernitana 6 fouls, Monza 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Armando Izzo · Monza · 52′ · 0.01 xG · on targetWarren Bondo · Monza · 69′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGrigoris Kastanos · Salernitana · 9′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJean-Daniel Akpa Akpro · Monza · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Candreva · Salernitana · 36′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedArmando Izzo · Monza · 39′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMarco Pellegrino · Salernitana · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedWarren Bondo · Monza · 74′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDomagoj Bradarić · Salernitana · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMilan Đurić · Monza · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Zanoli · Salernitana · 77′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDomagoj Bradarić · Salernitana · 82′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMilan Đurić · Monza · 56′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Gagliardini · Monza · 75′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGrigoris Kastanos · Salernitana · 54′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLoum Tchaouna · Salernitana · 77′ · 0.09 xG · on targetMilan Đurić · Monza · 2′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGrigoris Kastanos · Salernitana · 70′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLoum Tchaouna · Salernitana · 77′ · 0.10 xG · on targetMilan Đurić · Monza · 2′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Gagliardini · Monza · 44′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Pessina · Monza · 83′ · 0.19 xG · goalMilan Đurić · Monza · 6′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Maldini · Monza · 78′ · 0.22 xG · goalJean-Daniel Akpa Akpro · Monza · 90′ · 0.32 xG · on targetShon Weissman · Salernitana · 28′ · 0.37 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Gagliardini · Monza · 56′ · 0.38 xG · on targetArmando Izzo · Monza · 6′ · 0.53 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Salernitana: 11 shots, 3 on target, 0.94 xG. Monza: 17 shots, 7 on target, 2.45 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Daniel Maldini · Monza · 78′Matteo Pessina · Monza · 83′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Salernitana 0.94 xG · Monza 2.45 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Salernitana
0Draws
2Monza
Monza — Salernitana · Serie A3–0
Salernitana — Monza · Serie A3–0
Monza — Salernitana · Serie A3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Salernitana favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Monza in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Salernitana26 matchesMonza26 matches
0.77 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲ 1.04 goals/match
2.04 goals/matchGoals allowed26/26▲ 1.15 goals/match
0.76 xG/matchExpected goals26/26▲ 1.1 xG/match
10.3 shots/matchShots26/26▲ 12.3 shots/match
3.19 shots/matchShots on target26/26▲ 3.65 shots/match
43.7%Possession26/26● 54.7%
4.12 corners/matchCorners26/26● 5.27 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls26/2612 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Feb 2024, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSalernitanaMonza
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headSalernitana — Monza
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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