Serie A · 2023

Empoli 0–1 Bologna · Serie A

Empoli

WDWLL
0–1Historical match

Bologna

WWWWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bologna won 0–1.

Shots
1020
Shots on target
19
Expected goals
0.972.39
Possession
29%71%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bologna beat Empoli 1–0. Recorded in this match (Empoli – Bologna): shots 10–20, shots on target 1–9, expected goals 0.97–2.39, possession 29%–71%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Empoli's recent record differs from the season

weak

Empoli's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9.8 shots/match11.6 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Bologna have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.7%PossessionEmpoli · Bologna● 57.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricEmpoliBolognaBaseline
Possession44.7%57.9%50.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots20 shotsEmpoli 10 shots, Bologna 20 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot9 shotsEmpoli 1 shot, Bologna 9 shots
  • Expected goals0.97 xG2.39 xGEmpoli 0.97 xG, Bologna 2.39 xG
  • Possession29%71%Empoli 29%, Bologna 71%
  • Corners7 corners6 cornersEmpoli 7 corners, Bologna 6 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls12 foulsEmpoli 19 fouls, Bologna 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jens Odgaard · Bologna · 1′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKacper Urbański · Bologna · 9′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedM'Baye Niang · Empoli · 41′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedM'Baye Niang · Empoli · 67′ · 0.01 xG · on targetNicolò Cambiaghi · Empoli · 4′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDan Ndoye · Bologna · 39′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBartosz Bereszyński · Empoli · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRăzvan Marin · Empoli · 48′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKacper Urbański · Bologna · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJhon Lucumí · Bologna · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Calafiori · Bologna · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJens Odgaard · Bologna · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSam Beukema · Bologna · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJens Odgaard · Bologna · 34′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSebastiano Luperto · Empoli · 48′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSzymon Żurkowski · Empoli · 26′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Cambiaghi · Empoli · 51′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKacper Urbański · Bologna · 19′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSam Beukema · Bologna · 18′ · 0.10 xG · on targetSantiago Castro · Bologna · 83′ · 0.10 xG · on targetJens Odgaard · Bologna · 60′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedSam Beukema · Bologna · 19′ · 0.16 xG · on targetGiovanni Fabbian · Bologna · 84′ · 0.17 xG · on targetGiovanni Fabbian · Bologna · 90′ · 0.18 xG · goalKacper Urbański · Bologna · 18′ · 0.20 xG · on targetKacper Urbański · Bologna · 19′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedM'Baye Niang · Empoli · 53′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedM'Baye Niang · Empoli · 56′ · 0.41 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Saelemaekers · Bologna · 81′ · 0.44 xG · on targetRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 86′ · 0.44 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Empoli: 10 shots, 1 on target, 0.98 xG. Bologna: 20 shots, 9 on target, 2.43 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Giovanni Fabbian · Bologna · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Empoli 0.98 xG · Bologna 2.43 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Empoli
1Draws
1Bologna
Bologna — Empoli · Serie A3–0
Empoli — Bologna · Serie A3–1
Bologna — Empoli · Serie A0–1
Bologna — Empoli · Serie A0–0
Empoli — Bologna · Serie A4–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Empoli favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Bologna in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Empoli29 matchesBologna29 matches
0.76 goals/matchGoals scored29/29▲ 1.45 goals/match
1.48 goals/matchGoals allowed29/29▲ 0.86 goals/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goals29/29▲ 1.27 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots29/29▲ 12.8 shots/match
3.34 shots/matchShots on target29/29▲ 4.52 shots/match
44.7%Possession29/29● 57.9%
4.97 corners/match ●Corners29/294.14 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls29/2912.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 15 Mar 2024, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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