Serie A · 2023

Lazio 1–0 Hellas Verona · Serie A

Lazio

WWLWW
1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lazio won 1–0.

Shots
177
Shots on target
51
Expected goals
1.090.62
Possession
69%31%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lazio beat Hellas Verona 1–0. Recorded in this match (Lazio – Hellas Verona): shots 17–7, shots on target 5–1, expected goals 1.09–0.62, possession 69%–31%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lazio's recent record differs from the season

weak

Lazio's last-five shots average is above their season average.

14.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match11.9 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Lazio have recorded the higher season possession share.

53.5% ●PossessionLazio · Hellas Verona44.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLazioHellas VeronaBaseline
Possession53.5%44.8%50.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots7 shotsLazio 17 shots, Hellas Verona 7 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots1 shotLazio 5 shots, Hellas Verona 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.09 xG0.62 xGLazio 1.09 xG, Hellas Verona 0.62 xG
  • Possession69%31%Lazio 69%, Hellas Verona 31%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersLazio 4 corners, Hellas Verona 2 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls18 foulsLazio 13 fouls, Hellas Verona 18 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Daichi Kamada · Lazio · 13′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuis Alberto · Lazio · 29′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFelipe Anderson · Lazio · 48′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMattia Zaccagni · Lazio · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMattéo Guendouzi · Lazio · 4′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTijjani Noslin · Hellas Verona · 5′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLuis Alberto · Lazio · 9′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKarol Świderski · Hellas Verona · 32′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGustav Isaksen · Lazio · 35′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 69′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLuis Alberto · Lazio · 9′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedStefan Mitrović · Hellas Verona · 13′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFelipe Anderson · Lazio · 22′ · 0.05 xG · on targetSuat Serdar · Hellas Verona · 34′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 69′ · 0.05 xG · on targetPedro · Lazio · 85′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMatías Vecino · Lazio · 89′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDarko Lazović · Hellas Verona · 59′ · 0.07 xG · on targetGustav Isaksen · Lazio · 18′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMattia Zaccagni · Lazio · 72′ · 0.09 xG · goalLuis Alberto · Lazio · 54′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedThomas Henry · Hellas Verona · 90′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedKarol Świderski · Hellas Verona · 35′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedPedro · Lazio · 66′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lazio: 17 shots, 5 on target, 1.15 xG. Hellas Verona: 7 shots, 1 on target, 0.65 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Mattia Zaccagni · Lazio · 72′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lazio 1.15 xG · Hellas Verona 0.65 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Lazio
3Draws
1Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona — Lazio · Serie A1–1
Hellas Verona — Lazio · Serie A1–1
Lazio — Hellas Verona · Serie A2–0
Lazio — Hellas Verona · Serie A3–3
Hellas Verona — Lazio · Serie A4–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lazio favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Hellas Verona in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lazio34 matchesHellas Verona34 matches
1.26 goals/match ▲Goals scored34/340.91 goals/match
1.03 goals/match ▲Goals allowed34/341.32 goals/match
1.25 xG/match ▲Expected goals34/340.93 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots34/3411.3 shots/match
3.59 shots/matchShots on target34/34▲ 3.79 shots/match
53.5% ●Possession34/3444.8%
5.32 corners/match ●Corners34/343.53 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls34/3413.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 27 Apr 2024, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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