PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Monza 2–2 Lazio · Serie A

Monza

LLDLD
2–2Historical match

Lazio

WLWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Monza and Lazio drew 2–2.

Shots
179
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
1.741.4
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Monza and Lazio drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Monza – Lazio): shots 17–9, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 1.74–1.4, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lazio's recent record differs from the season

weak

Lazio's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.29 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots9 shotsMonza 17 shots, Lazio 9 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsMonza 7 shots, Lazio 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.74 xG1.4 xGMonza 1.74 xG, Lazio 1.4 xG
  • Possession59%41%Monza 59%, Lazio 41%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersMonza 5 corners, Lazio 4 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls13 foulsMonza 8 fouls, Lazio 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Andrea Colpani · Monza · 9′ · 0.01 xG · on targetGeorgios Kyriakopoulos · Monza · 14′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Pessina · Monza · 35′ · 0.02 xG · on targetWarren Bondo · Monza · 37′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlessio Romagnoli · Lazio · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPablo Marí · Monza · 89′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLuis Alberto · Lazio · 7′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlessio Zerbin · Monza · 70′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMilan Đurić · Monza · 90′ · 0.04 xG · goalMilan Đurić · Monza · 14′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGeorgios Kyriakopoulos · Monza · 49′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMattéo Guendouzi · Lazio · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDaichi Kamada · Lazio · 11′ · 0.06 xG · on targetPatric · Lazio · 25′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Colpani · Monza · 89′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Colpani · Monza · 69′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJean-Daniel Akpa Akpro · Monza · 86′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLuis Alberto · Lazio · 38′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedWarren Bondo · Monza · 38′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Pessina · Monza · 73′ · 0.14 xG · on targetMilan Đurić · Monza · 5′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedCiro Immobile · Lazio · 28′ · 0.27 xG · on targetMatías Vecino · Lazio · 83′ · 0.36 xG · goalValentín Carboni · Monza · 23′ · 0.39 xG · off target or blockedCiro Immobile · Lazio · 11′ · 0.50 xG · goalMilan Đurić · Monza · 73′ · 0.58 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Monza: 17 shots, 7 on target, 1.88 xG. Lazio: 9 shots, 5 on target, 1.44 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Milan Đurić · Monza · 73′Milan Đurić · Monza · 90′Ciro Immobile · Lazio · 11′Matías Vecino · Lazio · 83′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Monza 1.88 xG · Lazio 1.44 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Monza
1Draws
2Lazio
Lazio — Monza · Serie A1–1
Monza — Lazio · Serie A0–2
Lazio — Monza · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Monza favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Lazio in 8 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Monza35 matchesLazio35 matches
1.09 goals/matchGoals scored35/35▲ 1.29 goals/match
1.31 goals/matchGoals allowed35/35▲ 1.06 goals/match
1.08 xG/matchExpected goals35/35▲ 1.26 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots35/3511.8 shots/match
3.49 shots/matchShots on target35/353.63 shots/match
53.1%Possession35/35● 53.1%
4.63 corners/matchCorners35/35● 5.29 corners/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls35/3512.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 May 2024, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMonzaLazio
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headMonza — Lazio
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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