PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Lecce 1–1 Monza · Serie A

Lecce

WDLWW
1–1Historical match

Monza

WLLDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lecce and Monza drew 1–1.

Shots
129
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
0.981.14
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lecce and Monza drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Lecce – Monza): shots 12–9, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 0.98–1.14, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Monza's recent record differs from the season

weak

Monza's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.06 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.06 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lecce show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Lecce's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLecce · Monza12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLecceMonzaBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match12 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against13.1 shots/match14.7 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Monza have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.9%PossessionLecce · Monza● 52.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLecceMonzaBaseline
Possession43.9%52.9%50.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots9 shotsLecce 12 shots, Monza 9 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotLecce 4 shots, Monza 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.98 xG1.14 xGLecce 0.98 xG, Monza 1.14 xG
  • Possession46%54%Lecce 46%, Monza 54%
  • Corners0 corners5 cornersLecce 0 corners, Monza 5 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls18 foulsLecce 13 fouls, Monza 18 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Antonino Gallo · Lecce · 21′ · 0.01 xG · on targetNikola Krstović · Lecce · 79′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Blin · Lecce · 9′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWarren Bondo · Monza · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGeorgios Kyriakopoulos · Monza · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRémi Oudin · Lecce · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWarren Bondo · Monza · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedWarren Bondo · Monza · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSamuele Birindelli · Monza · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPablo Marí · Monza · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Piccoli · Lecce · 52′ · 0.06 xG · on targetHamza Rafia · Lecce · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 50′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedWarren Bondo · Monza · 89′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 90′ · 0.08 xG · goalAndrea Colpani · Monza · 89′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 60′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedRémi Oudin · Lecce · 45′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAntonino Gallo · Lecce · 88′ · 0.16 xG · on targetRémi Oudin · Lecce · 45′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Pessina · Monza · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lecce: 12 shots, 4 on target, 0.98 xG. Monza: 9 shots, 1 on target, 1.18 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Nikola Krstović · Lecce · 90′Matteo Pessina · Monza · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lecce 0.98 xG · Monza 1.18 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Lecce
2Draws
0Monza
Monza — Lecce · Serie A1–1
Monza — Lecce · Serie A0–1
Lecce — Monza · Serie A1–1
Monza — Lecce · Serie B0–1
Lecce — Monza · Serie B3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lecce favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Monza in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lecce34 matchesMonza34 matches
0.91 goals/matchGoals scored34/34▲ 1.06 goals/match
1.44 goals/matchGoals allowed34/34▲ 1.29 goals/match
1.18 xG/match ▲Expected goals34/341.06 xG/match
13.6 shots/match ▲Shots34/3412 shots/match
4.26 shots/match ▲Shots on target34/343.38 shots/match
43.9%Possession34/34● 52.9%
4.44 corners/matchCorners34/34● 4.62 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls34/3412 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 27 Apr 2024, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLecceMonza
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headLecce — Monza
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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