PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Lecce 0–2 Udinese · Serie A

Lecce

LWWDD
0–2Historical match

Udinese

LLLDD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Udinese won 0–2.

Shots
916
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
0.371.46
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

Udinese beat Lecce 2–0. Recorded in this match (Lecce – Udinese): shots 9–16, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 0.37–1.46, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lecce's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lecce's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.89 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.89 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots16 shotsLecce 9 shots, Udinese 16 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsLecce 2 shots, Udinese 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.37 xG1.46 xGLecce 0.37 xG, Udinese 1.46 xG
  • Possession65%35%Lecce 65%, Udinese 35%
  • Corners8 corners2 cornersLecce 8 corners, Udinese 2 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls11 foulsLecce 12 fouls, Udinese 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Martín Payero · Udinese · 22′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Ehizibue · Udinese · 35′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHamza Rafia · Lecce · 46′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMartín Payero · Udinese · 51′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAntonino Gallo · Lecce · 53′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Ehizibue · Udinese · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJaka Bijol · Udinese · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLazar Samardžić · Udinese · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Pierotti · Lecce · 73′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlexis Blin · Lecce · 12′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 29′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFederico Baschirotto · Lecce · 78′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNehuén Pérez · Udinese · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKeinan Davis · Udinese · 85′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMartín Payero · Udinese · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 39′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 11′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 5′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLazar Samardžić · Udinese · 18′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Success · Udinese · 25′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMarin Pongračić · Lecce · 65′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 36′ · 0.09 xG · goalLazar Samardžić · Udinese · 85′ · 0.13 xG · goalLazar Samardžić · Udinese · 35′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedThomas Kristensen · Udinese · 19′ · 0.59 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lecce: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.36 xG. Udinese: 16 shots, 3 on target, 1.47 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Lorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 36′Lazar Samardžić · Udinese · 85′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lecce 0.36 xG · Udinese 1.47 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Lecce
2Draws
0Udinese
Udinese — Lecce · Serie A1–1
Lecce — Udinese · Serie A1–0
Udinese — Lecce · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lecce favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Udinese in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lecce36 matchesUdinese36 matches
0.89 goals/matchGoals scored36/36▲ 0.97 goals/match
1.44 goals/matchGoals allowed36/361.44 goals/match
1.17 xG/match ▲Expected goals36/361.06 xG/match
13.5 shots/match ▲Shots36/3612.3 shots/match
4.17 shots/match ▲Shots on target36/363.67 shots/match
45.1% ●Possession36/3638.8%
4.69 corners/match ●Corners36/364.19 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls36/3613 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples36 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 13 May 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLecceUdinese
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headLecce — Udinese
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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