Serie A · 2023

Lecce 0–2 Atalanta · Serie A

Lecce

WWDDL
0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atalanta won 0–2.

Shots
1119
Shots on target
39
Expected goals
1.311.59
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atalanta beat Lecce 2–0. Recorded in this match (Lecce – Atalanta): shots 11–19, shots on target 3–9, expected goals 1.31–1.59, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atalanta's recent record differs from the season

weak

Atalanta's last-five shots average is above their season average.

17.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots17.8 shots/match14.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atalanta have a visible away split

moderate

Atalanta's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.7 shots/match14.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots19 shotsLecce 11 shots, Atalanta 19 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots9 shotsLecce 3 shots, Atalanta 9 shots
  • Expected goals1.31 xG1.59 xGLecce 1.31 xG, Atalanta 1.59 xG
  • Possession44%56%Lecce 44%, Atalanta 56%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersLecce 2 corners, Atalanta 5 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls20 foulsLecce 7 fouls, Atalanta 20 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Aleksey Miranchuk · Atalanta · 4′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAleksey Miranchuk · Atalanta · 24′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Dorgu · Lecce · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIsak Hien · Atalanta · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Piccoli · Lecce · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEl Bilal Touré · Atalanta · 33′ · 0.03 xG · on targetCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIsak Hien · Atalanta · 78′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 27′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEl Bilal Touré · Atalanta · 13′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGiorgio Scalvini · Atalanta · 74′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBerat Djimsiti · Atalanta · 82′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedValentin Gendrey · Lecce · 10′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 18′ · 0.07 xG · on targetRoberto Piccoli · Lecce · 86′ · 0.07 xG · on targetRoberto Piccoli · Lecce · 79′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Bonfanti · Atalanta · 19′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 53′ · 0.09 xG · goalAleksey Miranchuk · Atalanta · 60′ · 0.10 xG · on targetAleksey Miranchuk · Atalanta · 7′ · 0.11 xG · on targetDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 39′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 30′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Piccoli · Lecce · 57′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Piccoli · Lecce · 9′ · 0.14 xG · on targetPatrick Dorgu · Lecce · 34′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Piccoli · Lecce · 9′ · 0.25 xG · on targetNikola Krstović · Lecce · 47′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 48′ · 0.27 xG · goalMario Pašalić · Atalanta · 7′ · 0.36 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lecce: 11 shots, 3 on target, 1.34 xG. Atalanta: 19 shots, 9 on target, 1.58 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Charles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 48′Gianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 53′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lecce 1.34 xG · Atalanta 1.58 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Lecce
0Draws
1Atalanta
Atalanta — Lecce · Serie A1–0
Atalanta — Lecce · Serie A1–2
Lecce — Atalanta · Serie A2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lecce favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Atalanta in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lecce37 matchesAtalanta36 matches
0.86 goals/matchGoals scored37/36▲ 1.86 goals/match
1.46 goals/matchGoals allowed37/36▲ 1.08 goals/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goals37/36▲ 1.51 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShots37/36▲ 14.3 shots/match
4.14 shots/matchShots on target37/36▲ 5.47 shots/match
45%Possession37/36● 51.6%
4.62 corners/matchCorners37/36● 5.67 corners/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls37/3612.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples37 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 May 2024, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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