PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Torino 3–1 Milan · Serie A

Torino

DDLDW
3–1Historical match

Milan

DLDDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Torino won 3–1.

Shots
1116
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
0.941.96
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Torino beat Milan 3–1. Recorded in this match (Torino – Milan): shots 11–16, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 0.94–1.96, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots16 shotsTorino 11 shots, Milan 16 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsTorino 5 shots, Milan 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.94 xG1.96 xGTorino 0.94 xG, Milan 1.96 xG
  • Possession40%60%Torino 40%, Milan 60%
  • Corners3 corners8 cornersTorino 3 corners, Milan 8 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls14 foulsTorino 15 fouls, Milan 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ivan Ilić · Torino · 5′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYunus Musah · Milan · 43′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOlivier Giroud · Milan · 83′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedChristian Pulišić · Milan · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRaoul Bellanova · Torino · 44′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRicardo Rodríguez · Torino · 46′ · 0.02 xG · goalNoah Okafor · Milan · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDuván Zapata · Torino · 59′ · 0.02 xG · on targetYunus Musah · Milan · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTijjani Reijnders · Milan · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKarol Linetty · Torino · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTijjani Reijnders · Milan · 52′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPierre Kalulu · Milan · 63′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedChristian Pulišić · Milan · 8′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNoah Okafor · Milan · 25′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIvan Ilić · Torino · 5′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedValentino Lazaro · Torino · 85′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedChristian Pulišić · Milan · 33′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedLuka Jović · Milan · 60′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedKarol Linetty · Torino · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDuván Zapata · Torino · 26′ · 0.15 xG · goalLuka Jović · Milan · 50′ · 0.17 xG · on targetIvan Ilić · Torino · 40′ · 0.18 xG · goalChristian Pulišić · Milan · 71′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Tameze · Torino · 19′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedRafael Leão · Milan · 87′ · 0.37 xG · on targetIsmaël Bennacer · Milan · 55′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Torino: 11 shots, 5 on target, 0.94 xG. Milan: 16 shots, 4 on target, 2.00 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Duván Zapata · Torino · 26′Ivan Ilić · Torino · 40′Ricardo Rodríguez · Torino · 46′Ismaël Bennacer · Milan · 55′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Torino 0.94 xG · Milan 2.00 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Torino
1Draws
3Milan
Milan — Torino · Serie A4–1
Milan — Torino · Serie A1–0
Torino — Milan · Serie A2–1
Torino — Milan · Serie A0–0
Milan — Torino · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Torino favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Milan in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Torino37 matchesMilan37 matches
0.97 goals/matchGoals scored37/37▲ 1.97 goals/match
0.89 goals/match ▲Goals allowed37/371.24 goals/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goals37/37▲ 1.73 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots37/37▲ 14.6 shots/match
3.3 shots/matchShots on target37/37▲ 5.49 shots/match
51.5%Possession37/37● 56.8%
4.62 corners/matchCorners37/37● 4.84 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls37/3711.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples37 / 37home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 May 2024, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTorinoMilan
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headTorino — Milan
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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