Serie A · 2023

Fiorentina 2–1 Monza · Serie A

2–1Historical match

Monza

LDLDD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fiorentina won 2–1.

Shots
166
Shots on target
92
Expected goals
2.510.67
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fiorentina beat Monza 2–1. Recorded in this match (Fiorentina – Monza): shots 16–6, shots on target 9–2, expected goals 2.51–0.67, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fiorentina's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fiorentina's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.51 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.51 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Monza show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Monza's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14 shots/match ▲ShotsFiorentina · Monza11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFiorentinaMonzaBaseline
Shots14 shots/match11.9 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against9.69 shots/match14.6 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots6 shotsFiorentina 16 shots, Monza 6 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots2 shotsFiorentina 9 shots, Monza 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.51 xG0.67 xGFiorentina 2.51 xG, Monza 0.67 xG
  • Possession50%50%Fiorentina 50%, Monza 50%
  • Corners6 corners1 cornerFiorentina 6 corners, Monza 1 corner
  • Fouls9 fouls14 foulsFiorentina 9 fouls, Monza 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Arthur · Fiorentina · 25′ · 0.02 xG · on targetArthur · Fiorentina · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolás González · Fiorentina · 5′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNicolás González · Fiorentina · 52′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAntonín Barák · Fiorentina · 69′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNicolás González · Fiorentina · 52′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRolando Mandragora · Fiorentina · 59′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedArthur · Fiorentina · 78′ · 0.05 xG · goalGeorgios Kyriakopoulos · Monza · 21′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNicolás González · Fiorentina · 36′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMatteo Pessina · Monza · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Colpani · Monza · 81′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedFabiano Parisi · Fiorentina · 11′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGaetano Castrovilli · Fiorentina · 31′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAlessio Zerbin · Monza · 36′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAlessio Zerbin · Monza · 36′ · 0.13 xG · on targetMilan Đurić · Monza · 9′ · 0.17 xG · goalRolando Mandragora · Fiorentina · 62′ · 0.19 xG · on targetNicolás González · Fiorentina · 75′ · 0.20 xG · on targetNicolás González · Fiorentina · 32′ · 0.42 xG · goalLucas Martínez Quarta · Fiorentina · 45′ · 0.42 xG · off target or blockedRolando Mandragora · Fiorentina · 69′ · 0.69 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fiorentina: 16 shots, 9 on target, 2.48 xG. Monza: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.65 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Nicolás González · Fiorentina · 32′Arthur · Fiorentina · 78′Milan Đurić · Monza · 9′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fiorentina 2.48 xG · Monza 0.65 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Fiorentina
1Draws
1Monza
Monza — Fiorentina · Serie A0–1
Monza — Fiorentina · Serie A3–2
Fiorentina — Monza · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fiorentina favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Monza in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fiorentina35 matchesMonza36 matches
1.51 goals/match ▲Goals scored35/361.08 goals/match
1.14 goals/match ▲Goals allowed35/361.33 goals/match
1.4 xG/match ▲Expected goals35/361.07 xG/match
14 shots/match ▲Shots35/3611.9 shots/match
4.8 shots/match ▲Shots on target35/363.44 shots/match
57.7% ●Possession35/3653%
5.29 corners/match ●Corners35/364.53 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls35/3612 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples35 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 13 May 2024, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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