Serie A · 2023

Atalanta 3–0 Torino · Serie A

3–0Historical match

Torino

DLDWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atalanta won 3–0.

Shots
188
Shots on target
71
Expected goals
2.621.06
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atalanta beat Torino 3–0. Recorded in this match (Atalanta – Torino): shots 18–8, shots on target 7–1, expected goals 2.62–1.06, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atalanta's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atalanta's last-five shots average is above their season average.

19 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots19 shots/match14.4 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atalanta have a visible home split

moderate

Atalanta's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.2 shots/match14.4 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots8 shotsAtalanta 18 shots, Torino 8 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots1 shotAtalanta 7 shots, Torino 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.62 xG1.06 xGAtalanta 2.62 xG, Torino 1.06 xG
  • Possession40%60%Atalanta 40%, Torino 60%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersAtalanta 2 corners, Torino 5 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls10 foulsAtalanta 18 fouls, Torino 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Emil Holm · Atalanta · 18′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIvan Ilić · Torino · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEmil Holm · Atalanta · 16′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRaoul Bellanova · Torino · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 18′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 68′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 46′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEmil Holm · Atalanta · 59′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDuván Zapata · Torino · 61′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Sanabria · Torino · 64′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 64′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTeun Koopmeiners · Atalanta · 82′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDuván Zapata · Torino · 64′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 26′ · 0.08 xG · goalMario Pašalić · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMario Pašalić · Atalanta · 80′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedEmil Holm · Atalanta · 46′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDuván Zapata · Torino · 10′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 60′ · 0.11 xG · on targetCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 24′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 41′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedPietro Pellegri · Torino · 49′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedMario Pašalić · Atalanta · 43′ · 0.32 xG · on targetIvan Ilić · Torino · 90′ · 0.58 xG · on targetAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 43′ · 0.72 xG · goalMario Pašalić · Atalanta · 71′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Atalanta: 18 shots, 7 on target, 2.89 xG. Torino: 8 shots, 1 on target, 1.09 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Gianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 26′Ademola Lookman · Atalanta · 43′Mario Pašalić · Atalanta · 71′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atalanta 2.89 xG · Torino 1.09 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Atalanta
1Draws
1Torino
Torino — Atalanta · Serie A3–0
Torino — Atalanta · Serie A1–2
Atalanta — Torino · Serie A3–1
Atalanta — Torino · Serie A4–4
Torino — Atalanta · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atalanta favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Torino in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atalanta37 matchesTorino38 matches
1.89 goals/match ▲Goals scored37/380.95 goals/match
1.05 goals/matchGoals allowed37/38▲ 0.95 goals/match
1.54 xG/match ▲Expected goals37/381.01 xG/match
14.4 shots/match ▲Shots37/3811.4 shots/match
5.51 shots/match ▲Shots on target37/383.24 shots/match
51.2%Possession37/38● 51.7%
5.57 corners/match ●Corners37/384.63 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls37/3812.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples37 / 38home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 May 2024, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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