Fiorentina 2–1 Milan — Serie A 2024/25 Match Stats

Serie A · 2024Sun, 6 Oct 2024, 18:45 UTC

Fiorentina

DDLWD

2–1Historical match

Milan

LDWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fiorentina won 2–1.

Shots: 1216
Shots on target: 38
Expected goals: 1.472.67
Possession: 40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fiorentina beat Milan 2–1. Recorded in this match (Fiorentina – Milan): shots 12–16, shots on target 3–8, expected goals 1.47–2.67, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fiorentina's recent record differs from the season

weak

Fiorentina's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.29 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.6 goals/match	1.29 goals/match	1.43 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

Shots12 shots16 shotsFiorentina 12 shots, Milan 16 shots
Shots on target3 shots8 shotsFiorentina 3 shots, Milan 8 shots
Expected goals1.47 xG2.67 xGFiorentina 1.47 xG, Milan 2.67 xG
Possession40%60%Fiorentina 40%, Milan 60%
Corners0 corners7 cornersFiorentina 0 corners, Milan 7 corners
Fouls11 fouls21 foulsFiorentina 11 fouls, Milan 21 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Fiorentina: 12 shots, 3 on target, 1.51 xG. Milan: 16 shots, 8 on target, 2.76 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fiorentina 1.51 xG · Milan 2.76 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Fiorentina

0Draws

4Milan

30 Mar 2024Fiorentina — Milan · Serie A1–2

25 Nov 2023Milan — Fiorentina · Serie A1–0

4 Mar 2023Fiorentina — Milan · Serie A2–1

13 Nov 2022Milan — Fiorentina · Serie A2–1

1 May 2022Milan — Fiorentina · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fiorentina favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Milan in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fiorentina7 matchesMilan7 matches

1.29 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 2.14 goals/match

1.14 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/71.29 goals/match

1.51 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.95 xG/match

14.1 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 16 shots/match

4.86 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 6.43 shots/match

54.6%Possession7/7● 56.9%

4.57 corners/matchCorners7/7● 6.29 corners/match

11.7 fouls/matchFouls7/710.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited

Season samples7 / 7home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Oct 2024, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4