PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Monza 0–1 Lazio · Serie A

Monza

DWDLL
0–1Historical match

Lazio

WLWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lazio won 0–1.

Shots
1214
Shots on target
26
Expected goals
0.961.61
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lazio beat Monza 1–0. Recorded in this match (Monza – Lazio): shots 12–14, shots on target 2–6, expected goals 0.96–1.61, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Monza's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Monza's last-five shots average is above their season average.

10.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season7.42 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match7.42 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Monza show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Monza's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

7.42 shots/match ▲ShotsMonza · Lazio14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMonzaLazioBaseline
Shots7.42 shots/match14 shots/match13.5 shots/match
Shots against13.9 shots/match10.3 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Monza have a visible home split

moderate

Monza's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

8.57 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season7.42 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.57 shots/match7.42 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots14 shotsMonza 12 shots, Lazio 14 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsMonza 2 shots, Lazio 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.96 xG1.61 xGMonza 0.96 xG, Lazio 1.61 xG
  • Possession51%49%Monza 51%, Lazio 49%
  • Corners6 corners6 cornersMonza 6 corners, Lazio 6 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls10 foulsMonza 13 fouls, Lazio 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Adam Marušić · Lazio · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMattia Zaccagni · Lazio · 36′ · 0.02 xG · goalNuno Tavares · Lazio · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGeorgios Kyriakopoulos · Monza · 27′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Rovella · Lazio · 52′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNuno Tavares · Lazio · 54′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDany Mota · Monza · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDany Mota · Monza · 2′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Maldini · Monza · 33′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAlessandro Bianco · Monza · 80′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Bianco · Monza · 19′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 71′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPedro · Lazio · 33′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMattéo Guendouzi · Lazio · 50′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMattia Zaccagni · Lazio · 33′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedArmando Izzo · Monza · 71′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMilan Đurić · Monza · 88′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMatías Vecino · Lazio · 86′ · 0.08 xG · on targetGustav Isaksen · Lazio · 79′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Caprari · Monza · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Maldini · Monza · 10′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedDany Mota · Monza · 43′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 82′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Maldini · Monza · 72′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedBoulaye Dia · Lazio · 12′ · 0.28 xG · on targetValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 85′ · 0.62 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Monza: 12 shots, 2 on target, 0.96 xG. Lazio: 14 shots, 6 on target, 1.62 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Mattia Zaccagni · Lazio · 36′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Monza 0.96 xG · Lazio 1.62 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Monza
2Draws
2Lazio
Monza — Lazio · Serie A2–2
Lazio — Monza · Serie A1–1
Monza — Lazio · Serie A0–2
Lazio — Monza · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Monza favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Lazio in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Monza12 matchesLazio12 matches
0.83 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲ 2.08 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲ 1.17 goals/match
0.67 xG/matchExpected goals12/12▲ 1.85 xG/match
7.42 shots/matchShots12/12▲ 14 shots/match
2.33 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲ 5.42 shots/match
46.6%Possession12/12● 52.3%
3.17 corners/matchCorners12/12● 5.83 corners/match
14.5 fouls/matchFouls12/1212.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 Nov 2024, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMonzaLazio
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headMonza — Lazio
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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