PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Fiorentina 3–1 Hellas Verona · Serie A

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fiorentina won 3–1.

Shots
118
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
1.960.44
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fiorentina beat Hellas Verona 3–1. Recorded in this match (Fiorentina – Hellas Verona): shots 11–8, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 1.96–0.44, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fiorentina's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fiorentina's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.08 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.2 goals/match2.08 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Hellas Verona have a visible away split

moderate

Hellas Verona's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season9.08 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7 shots/match9.08 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Hellas Verona show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Hellas Verona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.2 shots/match ▲ShotsFiorentina · Hellas Verona9.08 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFiorentinaHellas VeronaBaseline
Shots14.2 shots/match9.08 shots/match13.5 shots/match
Shots against11.1 shots/match14.1 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots8 shotsFiorentina 11 shots, Hellas Verona 8 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsFiorentina 6 shots, Hellas Verona 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.96 xG0.44 xGFiorentina 1.96 xG, Hellas Verona 0.44 xG
  • Possession61%39%Fiorentina 61%, Hellas Verona 39%
  • Corners8 corners3 cornersFiorentina 8 corners, Hellas Verona 3 corners
  • Fouls1 foul19 foulsFiorentina 1 foul, Hellas Verona 19 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Suat Serdar · Hellas Verona · 18′ · 0.03 xG · goalLucas Beltrán · Fiorentina · 31′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Colpani · Fiorentina · 49′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Mosquera · Hellas Verona · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAbdou Harroui · Hellas Verona · 2′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSuat Serdar · Hellas Verona · 40′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 70′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDiego Coppola · Hellas Verona · 76′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRobin Gosens · Fiorentina · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGiangiacomo Magnani · Hellas Verona · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGiangiacomo Magnani · Hellas Verona · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetRiccardo Sottil · Fiorentina · 72′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedCasper Tengstedt · Hellas Verona · 46′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedLucas Beltrán · Fiorentina · 68′ · 0.13 xG · on targetMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 4′ · 0.17 xG · goalMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 83′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 90′ · 0.31 xG · goalAndrea Colpani · Fiorentina · 72′ · 0.32 xG · on targetMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 59′ · 0.44 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fiorentina: 11 shots, 6 on target, 1.90 xG. Hellas Verona: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.43 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Moise Kean · Fiorentina · 4′Moise Kean · Fiorentina · 59′Moise Kean · Fiorentina · 90′Suat Serdar · Hellas Verona · 18′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fiorentina 1.90 xG · Hellas Verona 0.43 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Fiorentina
1Draws
1Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona — Fiorentina · Serie A2–1
Fiorentina — Hellas Verona · Serie A1–0
Hellas Verona — Fiorentina · Serie A0–3
Fiorentina — Hellas Verona · Serie A2–0
Fiorentina — Hellas Verona · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fiorentina favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Hellas Verona in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fiorentina12 matchesHellas Verona12 matches
2.08 goals/match ▲Goals scored12/121.42 goals/match
0.83 goals/match ▲Goals allowed12/122.25 goals/match
1.63 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/120.98 xG/match
14.2 shots/match ▲Shots12/129.08 shots/match
5.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target12/122.5 shots/match
54.8% ●Possession12/1239.4%
4.67 corners/match ●Corners12/124.25 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls12/1213.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 Nov 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFiorentinaHellas Verona
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headFiorentina — Hellas Verona
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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