Serie A · 2024

Atalanta 2–1 Udinese · Serie A

2–1Historical match

Udinese

WLWLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atalanta won 2–1.

Shots
1011
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
0.910.84
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atalanta beat Udinese 2–1. Recorded in this match (Atalanta – Udinese): shots 10–11, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 0.91–0.84, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Udinese's recent record differs from the season

weak

Udinese's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.25 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Udinese show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Udinese's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAtalanta · Udinese11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtalantaUdineseBaseline
Shots15.6 shots/match11.1 shots/match13.5 shots/match
Shots against10.8 shots/match13.5 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Atalanta have recorded the higher season possession share.

56.5% ●PossessionAtalanta · Udinese44.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAtalantaUdineseBaseline
Possession56.5%44.9%48.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots11 shotsAtalanta 10 shots, Udinese 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsAtalanta 3 shots, Udinese 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.91 xG0.84 xGAtalanta 0.91 xG, Udinese 0.84 xG
  • Possession54%46%Atalanta 54%, Udinese 46%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersAtalanta 4 corners, Udinese 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls13 foulsAtalanta 10 fouls, Udinese 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Atalanta
3Draws
0Udinese
Atalanta — Udinese · Serie A2–0
Udinese — Atalanta · Serie A1–1
Atalanta — Udinese · Serie A0–0
Udinese — Atalanta · Serie A2–2
Udinese — Atalanta · Serie A2–6

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atalanta favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Udinese in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atalanta12 matchesUdinese12 matches
2.58 goals/match ▲Goals scored12/121.25 goals/match
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals allowed12/121.5 goals/match
1.87 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/120.97 xG/match
15.6 shots/match ▲Shots12/1211.1 shots/match
5.83 shots/match ▲Shots on target12/123.42 shots/match
56.5% ●Possession12/1244.9%
4.83 corners/matchCorners12/12● 4.92 corners/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls12/1214 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 Nov 2024, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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