PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Milan 0–0 Juventus · Serie A

Milan

LWLWD
0–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Milan and Juventus drew 0–0.

Shots
67
Shots on target
12
Expected goals
0.310.4
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Milan and Juventus drew 0–0. Recorded in this match (Milan – Juventus): shots 6–7, shots on target 1–2, expected goals 0.31–0.4, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Milan's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Milan's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.67 goals/match1.28 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Juventus have a visible away split

moderate

Juventus's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.5 shots/match12.8 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Milan show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Milan's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.3 shots/match ▲ShotsMilan · Juventus12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMilanJuventusBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against10.6 shots/match8.08 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots7 shotsMilan 6 shots, Juventus 7 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot2 shotsMilan 1 shot, Juventus 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.31 xG0.4 xGMilan 0.31 xG, Juventus 0.4 xG
  • Possession44%56%Milan 44%, Juventus 56%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersMilan 2 corners, Juventus 4 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls12 foulsMilan 9 fouls, Juventus 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Youssouf Fofana · Milan · 81′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFederico Gatti · Juventus · 16′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNicolò Fagioli · Juventus · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTheo Hernández · Milan · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetChristian Pulišić · Milan · 86′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKenan Yıldız · Juventus · 23′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKhéphren Thuram · Juventus · 63′ · 0.05 xG · on targetTeun Koopmeiners · Juventus · 10′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTijjani Reijnders · Milan · 65′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedEmerson Royal · Milan · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro Morata · Milan · 38′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Cambiaso · Juventus · 50′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Conceição · Juventus · 8′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Milan: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.30 xG. Juventus: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.39 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.250.50′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Milan 0.30 xG · Juventus 0.39 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Milan
2Draws
1Juventus
Juventus — Milan · Serie A0–0
Milan — Juventus · Serie A0–1
Juventus — Milan · Serie A0–1
Milan — Juventus · Serie A2–0
Milan — Juventus · Serie A0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Milan favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Juventus in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Milan12 matchesJuventus13 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored12/131.62 goals/match
1.17 goals/matchGoals allowed12/13▲ 0.54 goals/match
1.8 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/131.43 xG/match
14.3 shots/match ▲Shots12/1312.8 shots/match
5.75 shots/match ▲Shots on target12/134.15 shots/match
54.8%Possession12/13● 61.1%
5.58 corners/match ●Corners12/135.15 corners/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls12/1311.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 Nov 2024, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMilanJuventus
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headMilan — Juventus
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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