Serie A · 2024

Venezia 0–1 Lecce · Serie A

Venezia

LDWLL
0–1Historical match

Lecce

LLWLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lecce won 0–1.

Shots
167
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
2.730.66
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lecce beat Venezia 1–0. Recorded in this match (Venezia – Lecce): shots 16–7, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 2.73–0.66, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Venezia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Venezia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.85 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.85 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Venezia have a visible home split

moderate

Venezia's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots7 shotsVenezia 16 shots, Lecce 7 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsVenezia 6 shots, Lecce 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.73 xG0.66 xGVenezia 2.73 xG, Lecce 0.66 xG
  • Possession61%39%Venezia 61%, Lecce 39%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersVenezia 6 corners, Lecce 2 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls16 foulsVenezia 12 fouls, Lecce 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Patrick Dorgu · Lecce · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMichael Svoboda · Venezia · 5′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKialonda Gaspar · Lecce · 23′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGaetano Oristanio · Venezia · 30′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAlfred Duncan · Venezia · 52′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGianluca Busio · Venezia · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoel Pohjanpalo · Venezia · 25′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedÞórir Jóhann Helgason · Lecce · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Dorgu · Lecce · 33′ · 0.05 xG · on targetHans Nicolussi Caviglia · Venezia · 36′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMikael Ellertsson · Venezia · 73′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJoel Pohjanpalo · Venezia · 25′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Busio · Venezia · 34′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGaetano Oristanio · Venezia · 8′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAnte Rebić · Lecce · 76′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedJoel Pohjanpalo · Venezia · 49′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedAnte Rebić · Lecce · 79′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedJay Idzes · Venezia · 38′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedAlfred Duncan · Venezia · 54′ · 0.24 xG · on targetPatrick Dorgu · Lecce · 70′ · 0.27 xG · goalGianluca Busio · Venezia · 52′ · 0.31 xG · on targetGaetano Oristanio · Venezia · 39′ · 0.34 xG · on targetJoel Pohjanpalo · Venezia · 73′ · 0.89 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Venezia: 16 shots, 6 on target, 2.76 xG. Lecce: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.71 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Patrick Dorgu · Lecce · 70′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Venezia 2.76 xG · Lecce 0.71 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Venezia favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Lecce in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Venezia13 matchesLecce13 matches
0.85 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/130.46 goals/match
1.69 goals/matchGoals allowed13/131.62 goals/match
1.15 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/131 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots13/13▲ 12.9 shots/match
3.92 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/133.54 shots/match
47.1% ●Possession13/1342.4%
3.38 corners/matchCorners13/13● 3.85 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls13/1311.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 25 Nov 2024, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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