PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Roma 0–2 Atalanta · Serie A

Roma

LWLLL
0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atalanta won 0–2.

Shots
518
Shots on target
17
Expected goals
0.341.3
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atalanta beat Roma 2–0. Recorded in this match (Roma – Atalanta): shots 5–18, shots on target 1–7, expected goals 0.34–1.3, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Roma's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Roma's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9.8 shots/match13.9 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots18 shotsRoma 5 shots, Atalanta 18 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot7 shotsRoma 1 shot, Atalanta 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.34 xG1.3 xGRoma 0.34 xG, Atalanta 1.3 xG
  • Possession48%52%Roma 48%, Atalanta 52%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersRoma 2 corners, Atalanta 4 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls13 foulsRoma 17 fouls, Atalanta 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Sead Kolašinac · Atalanta · 66′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJuan Cuadrado · Atalanta · 79′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Atalanta · 4′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLeandro Paredes · Roma · 4′ · 0.02 xG · on targetManu Koné · Roma · 13′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarco Brescianini · Atalanta · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedStephan El Shaarawy · Roma · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Atalanta · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 80′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Zaniolo · Atalanta · 89′ · 0.03 xG · goalLazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRaoul Bellanova · Atalanta · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Atalanta · 34′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarten de Roon · Atalanta · 69′ · 0.05 xG · goalMarco Brescianini · Atalanta · 84′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRaoul Bellanova · Atalanta · 23′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 77′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedEldor Shomurodov · Roma · 71′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Zaniolo · Atalanta · 85′ · 0.10 xG · on targetCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 30′ · 0.12 xG · on targetBerat Djimsiti · Atalanta · 88′ · 0.12 xG · on targetGianluca Mancini · Roma · 76′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedÉderson · Atalanta · 83′ · 0.41 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Roma: 5 shots, 1 on target, 0.42 xG. Atalanta: 18 shots, 7 on target, 1.28 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Marten de Roon · Atalanta · 69′Nicolò Zaniolo · Atalanta · 89′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Roma 0.42 xG · Atalanta 1.28 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Roma
1Draws
3Atalanta
Atalanta — Roma · Serie A2–1
Roma — Atalanta · Serie A1–1
Atalanta — Roma · Serie A3–1
Roma — Atalanta · Serie A0–1
Roma — Atalanta · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Roma favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Atalanta in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Roma14 matchesAtalanta14 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored14/14▲ 2.57 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲ 1.14 goals/match
1.19 xG/matchExpected goals14/14▲ 1.89 xG/match
13.9 shots/matchShots14/14▲ 15.7 shots/match
3.93 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲ 5.93 shots/match
57.6% ●Possession14/1456.1%
3.5 corners/matchCorners14/14● 4.79 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls14/1411.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 2 Dec 2024, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRomaAtalanta
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headRoma — Atalanta
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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