PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Cagliari 0–1 Atalanta · Serie A

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atalanta won 0–1.

Shots
1212
Shots on target
82
Expected goals
1.511.46
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atalanta beat Cagliari 1–0. Recorded in this match (Cagliari – Atalanta): shots 12–12, shots on target 8–2, expected goals 1.51–1.46, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cagliari's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cagliari's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.94 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.94 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atalanta show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Atalanta's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.6 shots/match ▲ShotsCagliari · Atalanta15.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCagliariAtalantaBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match15.6 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against14.5 shots/match10.1 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Cagliari have a visible home split

moderate

Cagliari's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.8 shots/match13.6 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots12 shotsCagliari 12 shots, Atalanta 12 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots2 shotsCagliari 8 shots, Atalanta 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.51 xG1.46 xGCagliari 1.51 xG, Atalanta 1.46 xG
  • Possession44%56%Cagliari 44%, Atalanta 56%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersCagliari 2 corners, Atalanta 5 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls10 foulsCagliari 16 fouls, Atalanta 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Éderson · Atalanta · 1′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRaoul Bellanova · Atalanta · 68′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Piccoli · Cagliari · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Zaniolo · Atalanta · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRăzvan Marin · Cagliari · 83′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLeonardo Pavoletti · Cagliari · 84′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMarco Brescianini · Atalanta · 20′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYerry Mina · Cagliari · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMichel Adopo · Cagliari · 60′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 58′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBerat Djimsiti · Atalanta · 53′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBerat Djimsiti · Atalanta · 58′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSebastiano Luperto · Cagliari · 90′ · 0.11 xG · on targetRoberto Piccoli · Cagliari · 42′ · 0.12 xG · on targetAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 68′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMario Pašalić · Atalanta · 55′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedYerry Mina · Cagliari · 85′ · 0.18 xG · on targetRoberto Piccoli · Cagliari · 39′ · 0.20 xG · on targetNicolò Zaniolo · Atalanta · 66′ · 0.20 xG · goalRoberto Piccoli · Cagliari · 63′ · 0.24 xG · on targetRoberto Piccoli · Cagliari · 39′ · 0.29 xG · on targetNadir Zortea · Cagliari · 39′ · 0.30 xG · on targetOdilon Kossounou · Atalanta · 59′ · 0.30 xG · on targetMario Pašalić · Atalanta · 47′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Cagliari: 12 shots, 8 on target, 1.60 xG. Atalanta: 12 shots, 2 on target, 1.43 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Nicolò Zaniolo · Atalanta · 66′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Cagliari 1.60 xG · Atalanta 1.43 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Cagliari
0Draws
2Atalanta
Cagliari — Atalanta · Serie A2–1
Atalanta — Cagliari · Serie A2–0
Atalanta — Cagliari · Serie A1–2
Cagliari — Atalanta · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cagliari favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Atalanta in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cagliari16 matchesAtalanta16 matches
0.94 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲ 2.44 goals/match
1.63 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲ 1.06 goals/match
1.41 xG/matchExpected goals16/16▲ 1.88 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShots16/16▲ 15.6 shots/match
3.63 shots/matchShots on target16/16▲ 5.81 shots/match
47%Possession16/16● 55.8%
5.81 corners/match ●Corners16/164.94 corners/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls16/1611.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Dec 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCagliariAtalanta
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headCagliari — Atalanta
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required