PitchMath
Serie A · 2024Sat, 4 Jan 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Venezia

LDDWL
1–1Full-time recap

Empoli

LWLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricVeneziaEmpoli
Shots8 shots/match18 shots/match▲
Shots on target3 shots/match6 shots/match▲
Expected goals0.94 xG/match1.78 xG/match▲
Possession50%50%
Corners2 corners/match8 corners/match●
Fouls15 fouls/match14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Franco Carboni · Venezia · 22′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYoussef Maleh · Empoli · 35′ · 0.01 xG · on targetLorenzo Colombo · Empoli · 9′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTino Anjorin · Empoli · 14′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLiberato Cacace · Empoli · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLiam Henderson · Empoli · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHans Nicolussi Caviglia · Venezia · 53′ · 0.03 xG · on targetHans Nicolussi Caviglia · Venezia · 74′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Busio · Venezia · 83′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSebastiano Esposito · Empoli · 86′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYoussef Maleh · Empoli · 3′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSebastiano Esposito · Empoli · 25′ · 0.04 xG · on targetTino Anjorin · Empoli · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoel Pohjanpalo · Venezia · 42′ · 0.07 xG · on targetTino Anjorin · Empoli · 41′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedYoussef Maleh · Empoli · 49′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJoel Pohjanpalo · Venezia · 81′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Colombo · Empoli · 14′ · 0.09 xG · on targetArdian Ismajli · Empoli · 37′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Colombo · Empoli · 40′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJoel Pohjanpalo · Venezia · 78′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedSebastiano Esposito · Empoli · 3′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedLiberato Cacace · Empoli · 86′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Colombo · Empoli · 67′ · 0.27 xG · on targetJoel Pohjanpalo · Venezia · 5′ · 0.46 xG · goalSebastiano Esposito · Empoli · 32′ · 0.52 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Venezia: 8 shots, 3 on target, 0.82 xG. Empoli: 18 shots, 6 on target, 1.73 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Joel Pohjanpalo · Venezia · 5′Sebastiano Esposito · Empoli · 32′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Venezia 0.82 xG · Empoli 1.73 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Empoli's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Venezia's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Empoli's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Empoli's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.95 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match0.95 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Venezia have a visible home split

moderate

Venezia's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.3 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match10.4 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Venezia
1Draws
0Empoli
Venezia — Empoli · Serie A1–1
Empoli — Venezia · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Venezia favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Empoli in 6 · 4 too close

0.95 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 19/190.95 goals/match
1.68 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 19/19▲1.16 goals/match
1.01 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 19/190.83 xG/match
1.62 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 19/19▲1.33 xG/match
10.4 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 19/199.32 shots/match
14.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 19/1914.9 shots/match
3.63 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 19/193.26 shots/match
5.32 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 19/19▲3.58 shots/match
43.7%●Possessionseason · 19/1940.4%
3.32 corners/matchCornersseason · 19/19●4.58 corners/match
6.53 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 19/19▲5.74 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
11.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 19/1915 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
11%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 19/19▲26%
58%Scoring frequencyseason · 19/19▲63%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Venezia22.5
Empoli7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Venezia28.3
Empoli13.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Venezia20.8
Empoli50.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Venezia32.5
Empoli17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Venezia32.5
Empoli97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Venezia2.5
Empoli37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Venezia23.8
Empoli37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Venezia19 matchesEmpoli19 matches
0.95 goals/matchGoals scored19/190.95 goals/match
1.68 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲1.16 goals/match
1.01 xG/match▲Expected goals19/190.83 xG/match
10.4 shots/match▲Shots19/199.32 shots/match
3.63 shots/match▲Shots on target19/193.26 shots/match
43.7%●Possession19/1940.4%
3.32 corners/matchCorners19/19●4.58 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.5 fouls/matchFouls19/1915 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Venezia9 matchesEmpoli10 matches
1.22 goals/matchGoals scored9/10▲1.5 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed9/101.4 goals/match
1.37 xG/match▲Expected goals9/101.09 xG/match
12.3 shots/match▲Shots9/109.8 shots/match
4.89 shots/match▲Shots on target9/103.3 shots/match
48.2%●Possession9/1039.8%
3.67 corners/matchCorners9/10●4.3 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
10.1 fouls/matchFouls9/1016.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Jan 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsVeneziaEmpoli
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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