PitchMath
Serie A · 2024Sat, 4 Jan 2025, 19:45 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
0–0Full-time recap

Udinese

LWLWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricHellas VeronaUdinese
Shots13 shots/match15 shots/match▲
Shots on target3 shots/match6 shots/match▲
Expected goals1.02 xG/match▲0.8 xG/match
Possession37%63%●
Corners7 corners/match●3 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match16 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Martín Payero · Udinese · 10′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Thauvin · Udinese · 14′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHassane Kamara · Udinese · 74′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSuat Serdar · Hellas Verona · 4′ · 0.02 xG · on targetOumar Solet · Udinese · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOndrej Duda · Hellas Verona · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArthur Atta · Udinese · 76′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArthur Atta · Udinese · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCasper Tengstedt · Hellas Verona · 4′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 55′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSuat Serdar · Hellas Verona · 59′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Suslov · Hellas Verona · 65′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFlorian Thauvin · Udinese · 77′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedArthur Atta · Udinese · 86′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDaniele Ghilardi · Hellas Verona · 19′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSandi Lovrić · Udinese · 50′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJackson Tchatchoua · Hellas Verona · 67′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJackson Tchatchoua · Hellas Verona · 67′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSuat Serdar · Hellas Verona · 18′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHassane Kamara · Udinese · 80′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHassane Kamara · Udinese · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetLorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 70′ · 0.09 xG · on targetSuat Serdar · Hellas Verona · 61′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Thauvin · Udinese · 40′ · 0.12 xG · on targetCasper Tengstedt · Hellas Verona · 47′ · 0.15 xG · on targetDaniel Mosquera · Hellas Verona · 59′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedHassane Kamara · Udinese · 52′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Mosquera · Hellas Verona · 67′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Hellas Verona: 13 shots, 3 on target, 1.01 xG. Udinese: 15 shots, 6 on target, 0.82 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Hellas Verona 1.01 xG · Udinese 0.82 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. A second useful context is: Hellas Verona's last-five shots average is above their season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

14.9 fouls/matchFoulsHellas Verona · Udinese14.3 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricHellas VeronaUdineseBaseline
Fouls14.9 fouls/match14.3 fouls/match11.8 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Hellas Verona's recent record differs from the season

weak

Hellas Verona's last-five shots average is above their season average.

11.8 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season9.89 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match9.89 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Hellas Verona
2Draws
1Udinese
Hellas Verona — Udinese · Serie A1–0
Udinese — Hellas Verona · Serie A3–3
Udinese — Hellas Verona · Serie A1–1
Hellas Verona — Udinese · Serie A1–2
Hellas Verona — Udinese · Serie A4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Hellas Verona favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Udinese in 8 · 4 too close

1.26 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 19/191.21 goals/match
2.21 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 19/19▲1.47 goals/match
1 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 19/190.95 xG/match
1.67 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 19/19▲1.42 xG/match
9.89 shots/matchShotsseason · 19/19▲10.8 shots/match
15.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 19/19▲13.9 shots/match
2.68 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 19/19▲3.42 shots/match
5.63 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 19/19▲4.37 shots/match
39%Possessionseason · 19/19●46%
4.11 corners/matchCornersseason · 19/19●4.53 corners/match
5.58 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 19/195.42 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
14.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 19/1914.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
16%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 19/19▲21%
63%Scoring frequencyseason · 19/19▲74%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Hellas Verona2.5
Udinese32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Hellas Verona22.5
Udinese34.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Hellas Verona5.8
Udinese39.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Hellas Verona52.5
Udinese22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Hellas Verona92.5
Udinese82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Hellas Verona32.5
Udinese37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Hellas Verona36.2
Udinese45
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Hellas Verona19 matchesUdinese19 matches
1.26 goals/matchGoals scored19/191.21 goals/match
2.21 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲1.47 goals/match
1 xG/match▲Expected goals19/190.95 xG/match
9.89 shots/matchShots19/19▲10.8 shots/match
2.68 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲3.42 shots/match
39%Possession19/19●46%
4.11 corners/matchCorners19/19●4.53 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
14.9 fouls/matchFouls19/1914.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Hellas Verona10 matchesUdinese10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.2 goals/match
2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.5 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.03 xG/match
11.1 shots/matchShots10/10▲12.2 shots/match
2.7 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲3.8 shots/match
40%Possession10/10●47.7%
5.3 corners/match●Corners10/104.1 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
13.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.34 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Jan 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsHellas VeronaUdinese
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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