PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Empoli 1–3 Lecce · Serie A

Empoli

WLLLD
1–3Historical match

Lecce

LWLLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lecce won 1–3.

Shots
1514
Shots on target
56
Expected goals
1.431.43
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lecce beat Empoli 3–1. Recorded in this match (Empoli – Lecce): shots 15–14, shots on target 5–6, expected goals 1.43–1.43, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lecce's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lecce's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.7 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.7 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots14 shotsEmpoli 15 shots, Lecce 14 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots6 shotsEmpoli 5 shots, Lecce 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.43 xG1.43 xGEmpoli 1.43 xG, Lecce 1.43 xG
  • Possession50%50%Empoli 50%, Lecce 50%
  • Corners9 corners2 cornersEmpoli 9 corners, Lecce 2 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls21 foulsEmpoli 11 fouls, Lecce 21 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lorenzo Colombo · Empoli · 43′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Colombo · Empoli · 10′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLorenzo Colombo · Empoli · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSebastiano Esposito · Empoli · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJacopo Fazzini · Empoli · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNikola Krstović · Lecce · 11′ · 0.04 xG · goalNikola Krstović · Lecce · 38′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Pierotti · Lecce · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJunior Sambia · Empoli · 84′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSebastiano Esposito · Empoli · 85′ · 0.04 xG · on targetTete Morente · Lecce · 73′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTete Morente · Lecce · 40′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Colombo · Empoli · 66′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 76′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 90′ · 0.06 xG · goalPatrick Dorgu · Lecce · 76′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMattia De Sciglio · Empoli · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLiberato Cacace · Empoli · 46′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 14′ · 0.10 xG · on targetLorenzo Colombo · Empoli · 55′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedTete Morente · Lecce · 6′ · 0.12 xG · goalNikola Krstović · Lecce · 38′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedSebastiano Esposito · Empoli · 68′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Grassi · Empoli · 34′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedÞórir Jóhann Helgason · Lecce · 15′ · 0.20 xG · on targetLiberato Cacace · Empoli · 47′ · 0.29 xG · goalLiberato Cacace · Empoli · 57′ · 0.31 xG · on targetNikola Krstović · Lecce · 19′ · 0.44 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Empoli: 15 shots, 5 on target, 1.41 xG. Lecce: 14 shots, 6 on target, 1.44 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Liberato Cacace · Empoli · 47′Tete Morente · Lecce · 6′Nikola Krstović · Lecce · 11′Nikola Krstović · Lecce · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Empoli 1.41 xG · Lecce 1.44 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Empoli
3Draws
1Lecce
Lecce — Empoli · Serie A1–1
Lecce — Empoli · Serie A1–0
Empoli — Lecce · Serie A1–1
Empoli — Lecce · Serie A1–0
Lecce — Empoli · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Empoli favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Lecce in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Empoli20 matchesLecce20 matches
0.95 goals/match ▲Goals scored20/200.7 goals/match
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals allowed20/201.6 goals/match
0.86 xG/matchExpected goals20/20▲ 1.01 xG/match
9.6 shots/matchShots20/20▲ 11.9 shots/match
3.35 shots/matchShots on target20/203.45 shots/match
40.9%Possession20/20● 43.5%
4.8 corners/match ●Corners20/203.8 corners/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls20/2012.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Jan 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsEmpoliLecce
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headEmpoli — Lecce
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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