Serie A · 2024

Como 1–2 Atalanta · Serie A

Como

LWDLW
1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atalanta won 1–2.

Shots
155
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
0.931
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atalanta beat Como 2–1. Recorded in this match (Como – Atalanta): shots 15–5, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 0.93–1, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Como's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Como's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.23 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.23 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Atalanta.

4.76 days ▲Rest daysComo · Atalanta6.76 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricComoAtalantaBaseline
Rest days4.76 days6.76 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots5 shotsComo 15 shots, Atalanta 5 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsComo 5 shots, Atalanta 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.93 xG1 xGComo 0.93 xG, Atalanta 1 xG
  • Possession54%46%Como 54%, Atalanta 46%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersComo 4 corners, Atalanta 5 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls10 foulsComo 15 fouls, Atalanta 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nico Paz · Como · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYannik Engelhardt · Como · 14′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlieu Fadera · Como · 30′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNico Paz · Como · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Belotti · Como · 77′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNico Paz · Como · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLucas Da Cunha · Como · 40′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAlberto Moreno · Como · 13′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Strefezza · Como · 48′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNico Paz · Como · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGiorgio Scalvini · Atalanta · 47′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMáximo Perrone · Como · 49′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNico Paz · Como · 4′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMateo Retegui · Atalanta · 56′ · 0.07 xG · goalNico Paz · Como · 72′ · 0.09 xG · on targetNico Paz · Como · 77′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Atalanta · 70′ · 0.10 xG · goalNico Paz · Como · 30′ · 0.15 xG · goalCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 79′ · 0.73 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Como: 15 shots, 5 on target, 0.78 xG. Atalanta: 5 shots, 3 on target, 0.98 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Nico Paz · Como · 30′Mateo Retegui · Atalanta · 56′Mateo Retegui · Atalanta · 70′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Como 0.78 xG · Atalanta 0.98 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Como
0Draws
0Atalanta
Atalanta — Como · Serie A2–3

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Como favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Atalanta in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Como22 matchesAtalanta22 matches
1.23 goals/matchGoals scored22/22▲ 2.18 goals/match
1.64 goals/matchGoals allowed22/22▲ 1.14 goals/match
1.22 xG/matchExpected goals22/22▲ 1.71 xG/match
14.1 shots/matchShots22/2214.5 shots/match
4.73 shots/matchShots on target22/22▲ 5.5 shots/match
54.3%Possession22/22● 56.1%
4.64 corners/matchCorners22/22● 4.82 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls22/2212 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Jan 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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