PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Empoli 1–1 Bologna · Serie A

Empoli

LLDLL
1–1Historical match

Bologna

WLDDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Empoli and Bologna drew 1–1.

Shots
59
Shots on target
18
Expected goals
0.680.67
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

Empoli and Bologna drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Empoli – Bologna): shots 5–9, shots on target 1–8, expected goals 0.68–0.67, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bologna's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bologna's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.57 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.57 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Empoli show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Empoli's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.18 shots/match ▲ShotsEmpoli · Bologna13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEmpoliBolognaBaseline
Shots9.18 shots/match13.5 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against14.7 shots/match9.81 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

15 fouls/matchFoulsEmpoli · Bologna14.7 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricEmpoliBolognaBaseline
Fouls15 fouls/match14.7 fouls/match12.1 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots9 shotsEmpoli 5 shots, Bologna 9 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot8 shotsEmpoli 1 shot, Bologna 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.68 xG0.67 xGEmpoli 0.68 xG, Bologna 0.67 xG
  • Possession36%64%Empoli 36%, Bologna 64%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersEmpoli 2 corners, Bologna 4 corners
  • Fouls25 fouls13 foulsEmpoli 25 fouls, Bologna 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Youssef Maleh · Empoli · 76′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJhon Lucumí · Bologna · 57′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJhon Lucumí · Bologna · 3′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSantiago Castro · Bologna · 49′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJens Odgaard · Bologna · 73′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJacopo Fazzini · Empoli · 78′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEmil Holm · Bologna · 43′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBenjamín Domínguez · Bologna · 44′ · 0.05 xG · goalLorenzo Colombo · Empoli · 39′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJacopo Fazzini · Empoli · 74′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Castro · Bologna · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJens Odgaard · Bologna · 41′ · 0.16 xG · on targetSam Beukema · Bologna · 80′ · 0.22 xG · on targetLorenzo Colombo · Empoli · 24′ · 0.38 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Empoli: 5 shots, 1 on target, 0.55 xG. Bologna: 9 shots, 8 on target, 0.67 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Lorenzo Colombo · Empoli · 24′Benjamín Domínguez · Bologna · 44′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Empoli 0.55 xG · Bologna 0.67 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Empoli
1Draws
2Bologna
Bologna — Empoli · Serie A1–1
Empoli — Bologna · Serie A0–1
Bologna — Empoli · Serie A3–0
Empoli — Bologna · Serie A3–1
Bologna — Empoli · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Empoli favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Bologna in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Empoli22 matchesBologna21 matches
0.95 goals/matchGoals scored22/21▲ 1.57 goals/match
1.32 goals/matchGoals allowed22/211.29 goals/match
0.83 xG/matchExpected goals22/21▲ 1.3 xG/match
9.18 shots/matchShots22/21▲ 13.5 shots/match
3.14 shots/matchShots on target22/21▲ 5.14 shots/match
40.3%Possession22/21● 57.5%
4.59 corners/match ●Corners22/214.38 corners/match
15 fouls/matchFouls22/2114.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Jan 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsEmpoliBologna
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headEmpoli — Bologna
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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