PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Lecce 0–4 Inter · Serie A

Lecce

LLDWL
0–4Historical match

Inter

WWWDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Inter won 0–4.

Shots
179
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
0.882.03
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Inter beat Lecce 4–0. Recorded in this match (Lecce – Inter): shots 17–9, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 0.88–2.03, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lecce show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Lecce's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.9 shots/match ▲ShotsLecce · Inter15.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLecceInterBaseline
Shots11.9 shots/match15.5 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against14.5 shots/match9.1 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Lecce's recent record differs from the season

weak

Lecce's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.68 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.68 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Inter have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.1%PossessionLecce · Inter● 59.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLecceInterBaseline
Possession44.1%59.3%50.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots9 shotsLecce 17 shots, Inter 9 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsLecce 4 shots, Inter 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.88 xG2.03 xGLecce 0.88 xG, Inter 2.03 xG
  • Possession50%50%Lecce 50%, Inter 50%
  • Corners7 corners0 cornersLecce 7 corners, Inter 0 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls12 foulsLecce 13 fouls, Inter 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Henrikh Mkhitaryan · Inter · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 4′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPiotr Zieliński · Inter · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Dorgu · Lecce · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYlber Ramadani · Lecce · 75′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNikola Krstović · Lecce · 76′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFrédéric Guilbert · Lecce · 7′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 39′ · 0.03 xG · goalNikola Krstović · Lecce · 56′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNikola Krstović · Lecce · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Dorgu · Lecce · 29′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedÞórir Jóhann Helgason · Lecce · 53′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 55′ · 0.05 xG · on targetFederico Baschirotto · Lecce · 71′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFederico Baschirotto · Lecce · 9′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 71′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJesper Karlsson · Lecce · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetSantiago Pierotti · Lecce · 55′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDenzel Dumfries · Inter · 57′ · 0.09 xG · goalPiotr Zieliński · Inter · 66′ · 0.10 xG · on targetSantiago Pierotti · Lecce · 70′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 48′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMehdi Taremi · Inter · 66′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedDavide Frattesi · Inter · 6′ · 0.38 xG · goalMarcus Thuram · Inter · 21′ · 0.57 xG · off target or blockedMehdi Taremi · Inter · 61′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lecce: 17 shots, 4 on target, 0.89 xG. Inter: 9 shots, 5 on target, 2.16 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Davide Frattesi · Inter · 6′Lautaro Martínez · Inter · 39′Denzel Dumfries · Inter · 57′Mehdi Taremi · Inter · 61′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lecce 0.89 xG · Inter 2.16 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Lecce
0Draws
5Inter
Inter — Lecce · Serie A2–0
Lecce — Inter · Serie A0–4
Inter — Lecce · Serie A2–0
Inter — Lecce · Serie A2–0
Lecce — Inter · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lecce favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Inter in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lecce22 matchesInter21 matches
0.68 goals/matchGoals scored22/21▲ 2.62 goals/match
1.82 goals/matchGoals allowed22/21▲ 0.86 goals/match
0.98 xG/matchExpected goals22/21▲ 1.97 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots22/21▲ 15.5 shots/match
3.41 shots/matchShots on target22/21▲ 5.76 shots/match
44.1%Possession22/21● 59.3%
3.82 corners/matchCorners22/21● 5.9 corners/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls22/2111.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Jan 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLecceInter
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headLecce — Inter
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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