Serie A · 2024Mon, 24 Feb 2025, 19:45 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Roma

WWDWW

4–0Full-time recap

Monza

LLLLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Roma	Monza
Shots	23 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	1.47 xG/match▲	0.22 xG/match
Possession	65%●	35%
Corners	6 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	6 fouls/match	7 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Roma: 23 shots, 6 on target, 1.44 xG. Monza: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.29 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Roma 1.44 xG · Monza 0.29 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Monza's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Monza's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Monza's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Monza's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.81 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.2 goals/match	0.81 goals/match	1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Monza have a visible away split

strong

Monza's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

6.31 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season8.42 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	6.31 shots/match	8.42 shots/match	12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Monza show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Monza's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.2 shots/match▲ShotsRoma · Monza8.42 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Roma	Monza	Baseline
Shots	14.2 shots/match	8.42 shots/match	12.2 shots/match
Shots against	11.5 shots/match	14.6 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Roma

2Draws

0Monza

6 Oct 2024Monza — Roma · Serie A1–1

2 Mar 2024Monza — Roma · Serie A1–4

22 Oct 2023Roma — Monza · Serie A1–0

3 May 2023Monza — Roma · Serie A1–1

30 Aug 2022Roma — Monza · Serie A3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Roma favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Monza in 0 · 2 too close

1.54 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 26/260.81 goals/match

1.12 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 26/261.65 goals/match

1.45 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 26/260.82 xG/match

1.14 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 26/261.37 xG/match

14.2 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 26/268.42 shots/match

11.5 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 26/2614.6 shots/match

4.69 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 26/262.5 shots/match

4.12 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 26/264.58 shots/match

55.7%●Possessionseason · 26/2647.8%

4.27 corners/match●Cornersseason · 26/263.62 corners/match

3.85 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 26/265.12 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 26/2614.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

35%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 26/2612%

77%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 26/2662%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Roma77.5

Monza47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Roma72.5

Monza4.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Roma59.2

Monza22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Roma62.5

Monza2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Roma12.5

Monza82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Roma27.5

Monza2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Roma47.5

Monza22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Roma26 matchesMonza26 matches

1.54 goals/match▲Goals scored26/260.81 goals/match

1.12 goals/match▲Goals allowed26/261.65 goals/match

1.45 xG/match▲Expected goals26/260.82 xG/match

14.2 shots/match▲Shots26/268.42 shots/match

4.69 shots/match▲Shots on target26/262.5 shots/match

55.7%●Possession26/2647.8%

4.27 corners/match●Corners26/263.62 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.2 fouls/matchFouls26/2614.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Roma13 matchesMonza13 matches

2.15 goals/match▲Goals scored13/130.85 goals/match

0.92 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/132 goals/match

1.63 xG/match▲Expected goals13/130.78 xG/match

16 shots/match▲Shots13/136.31 shots/match

5.38 shots/match▲Shots on target13/132.31 shots/match

56.8%●Possession13/1345.8%

4.23 corners/match●Corners13/133.31 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11 fouls/matchFouls13/1314.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.11 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.24 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples26 / 26home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Mon, 24 Feb 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4