PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Genoa 2–1 Lecce · Serie A

Genoa

DWLDD
2–1Historical match

Lecce

DDLLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Genoa won 2–1.

Shots
815
Shots on target
22
Expected goals
1.041.36
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Genoa beat Lecce 2–1. Recorded in this match (Genoa – Lecce): shots 8–15, shots on target 2–2, expected goals 1.04–1.36, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Genoa's recent record differs from the season

weak

Genoa's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.97 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.97 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots15 shotsGenoa 8 shots, Lecce 15 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots2 shotsGenoa 2 shots, Lecce 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.04 xG1.36 xGGenoa 1.04 xG, Lecce 1.36 xG
  • Possession44%56%Genoa 44%, Lecce 56%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersGenoa 3 corners, Lecce 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls10 foulsGenoa 12 fouls, Lecce 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Tete Morente · Lecce · 30′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMedon Berisha · Lecce · 77′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedN'Dri Konan · Lecce · 78′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMedon Berisha · Lecce · 4′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Pinamonti · Genoa · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRuslan Malinovskyi · Genoa · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedN'Dri Konan · Lecce · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMorten Frendrup · Genoa · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAntonino Gallo · Lecce · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Pinamonti · Genoa · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMedon Berisha · Lecce · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedÞórir Jóhann Helgason · Lecce · 39′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJesper Karlsson · Lecce · 83′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFabio Miretti · Genoa · 26′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDanilo Veiga · Lecce · 64′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Pinamonti · Genoa · 64′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMedon Berisha · Lecce · 15′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedN'Dri Konan · Lecce · 64′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedFabio Miretti · Genoa · 45′ · 0.38 xG · goalFabio Miretti · Genoa · 16′ · 0.44 xG · goalNikola Krstović · Lecce · 68′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Genoa: 8 shots, 2 on target, 1.02 xG. Lecce: 15 shots, 2 on target, 1.39 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Fabio Miretti · Genoa · 16′Fabio Miretti · Genoa · 45′Nikola Krstović · Lecce · 68′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Genoa 1.02 xG · Lecce 1.39 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Genoa
1Draws
1Lecce
Lecce — Genoa · Serie A0–0
Genoa — Lecce · Serie A2–1
Lecce — Genoa · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Genoa favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Lecce in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Genoa29 matchesLecce29 matches
0.97 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/290.72 goals/match
1.28 goals/match ▲Goals allowed29/291.66 goals/match
1.03 xG/match ▲Expected goals29/290.93 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots29/29▲ 11.6 shots/match
3.17 shots/matchShots on target29/293.21 shots/match
45.3% ●Possession29/2944.6%
4.28 corners/match ●Corners29/294.03 corners/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls29/2912.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 14 Mar 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGenoaLecce
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headGenoa — Lecce
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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