Serie A · 2024Mon, 31 Mar 2025, 18:45 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Lazio

DDWDL

1–1Full-time recap

Torino

LWWDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Lazio	Torino
Shots	16 shots/match▲	7 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	1.2 xG/match▲	0.39 xG/match
Possession	59%●	41%
Corners	5 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	20 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Lazio: 16 shots, 6 on target, 1.21 xG. Torino: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.41 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lazio 1.21 xG · Torino 0.41 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Lazio's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Lazio's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Lazio's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lazio's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.7 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	1.7 goals/match	1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lazio show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Lazio's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14 shots/match▲ShotsLazio · Torino9.77 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Lazio	Torino	Baseline
Shots	14 shots/match	9.77 shots/match	11.9 shots/match
Shots against	10.5 shots/match	14.6 shots/match	12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Lazio

1Draws

1Torino

29 Sept 2024Torino — Lazio · Serie A2–3

22 Feb 2024Torino — Lazio · Serie A0–2

27 Sept 2023Lazio — Torino · Serie A2–0

22 Apr 2023Lazio — Torino · Serie A0–1

20 Aug 2022Torino — Lazio · Serie A0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Lazio favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Torino in 2 · 2 too close

1.7 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 30/301.17 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 30/30▲1.17 goals/match

1.53 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 30/300.89 xG/match

1.12 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 30/301.37 xG/match

14 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 30/309.77 shots/match

10.5 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 30/3014.6 shots/match

5.2 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 30/303.47 shots/match

3.2 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 30/304.87 shots/match

54.5%●Possessionseason · 30/3047.1%

5.9 corners/match●Cornersseason · 30/304 corners/match

4.37 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 30/305.5 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 30/3013 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 30/30▲30%

83%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 30/3073%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Lazio67.5

Torino37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Lazio82.5

Torino30

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Lazio64.2

Torino31.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Lazio62.5

Torino7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Lazio32.5

Torino62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Lazio87.5

Torino17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Lazio70

Torino32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Lazio30 matchesTorino30 matches

1.7 goals/match▲Goals scored30/301.17 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed30/30▲1.17 goals/match

1.53 xG/match▲Expected goals30/300.89 xG/match

14 shots/match▲Shots30/309.77 shots/match

5.2 shots/match▲Shots on target30/303.47 shots/match

54.5%●Possession30/3047.1%

5.9 corners/match●Corners30/304 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.4 fouls/matchFouls30/3013 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Lazio15 matchesTorino16 matches

1.93 goals/match▲Goals scored15/161.38 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed15/161.44 goals/match

1.56 xG/match▲Expected goals15/160.91 xG/match

14.6 shots/match▲Shots15/169.38 shots/match

5.07 shots/match▲Shots on target15/163.75 shots/match

55.2%●Possession15/1645.9%

5.87 corners/match●Corners15/163.63 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.7 fouls/matchFouls15/1613.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

15.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/116 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples30 / 30home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Mon, 31 Mar 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4