Serie A · 2024

Udinese 0–4 Milan · Serie A

Udinese

WDLLL
0–4Historical match

Milan

LWWLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Milan won 0–4.

Shots
1415
Shots on target
57
Expected goals
0.781.56
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Milan beat Udinese 4–0. Recorded in this match (Udinese – Milan): shots 14–15, shots on target 5–7, expected goals 0.78–1.56, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Udinese's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Udinese's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.13 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Milan show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Milan's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsUdinese · Milan15.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricUdineseMilanBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match15.2 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against13.1 shots/match11.4 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots15 shotsUdinese 14 shots, Milan 15 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots7 shotsUdinese 5 shots, Milan 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.78 xG1.56 xGUdinese 0.78 xG, Milan 1.56 xG
  • Possession53%47%Udinese 53%, Milan 47%
  • Corners5 corners7 cornersUdinese 5 corners, Milan 7 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls9 foulsUdinese 10 fouls, Milan 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Sandi Lovrić · Udinese · 20′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDavide Bartesaghi · Milan · 88′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMartín Payero · Udinese · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTheo Hernández · Milan · 1′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYoussouf Fofana · Milan · 35′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSandi Lovrić · Udinese · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIker Bravo · Udinese · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOumar Solet · Udinese · 86′ · 0.02 xG · on targetÁlex Jiménez · Milan · 32′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedChristian Pulišić · Milan · 49′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTijjani Reijnders · Milan · 68′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSimone Pafundi · Udinese · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetArthur Atta · Udinese · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRafael Leão · Milan · 41′ · 0.04 xG · on targetKingsley Ehizibue · Udinese · 33′ · 0.05 xG · on targetChristian Pulišić · Milan · 85′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 18′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJesper Karlström · Udinese · 40′ · 0.07 xG · on targetArthur Atta · Udinese · 62′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedStrahinja Pavlović · Milan · 14′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 59′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJürgen Ekkelenkamp · Udinese · 33′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedTheo Hernández · Milan · 74′ · 0.10 xG · goalChristian Pulišić · Milan · 45′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedRafael Leão · Milan · 42′ · 0.12 xG · goalLorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 76′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedTijjani Reijnders · Milan · 1′ · 0.29 xG · on targetStrahinja Pavlović · Milan · 45′ · 0.34 xG · goalTijjani Reijnders · Milan · 81′ · 0.90 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Udinese: 14 shots, 5 on target, 0.79 xG. Milan: 15 shots, 7 on target, 2.17 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Rafael Leão · Milan · 42′Strahinja Pavlović · Milan · 45′Theo Hernández · Milan · 74′Tijjani Reijnders · Milan · 81′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Udinese 0.79 xG · Milan 2.17 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Udinese
0Draws
3Milan
Milan — Udinese · Serie A1–0
Udinese — Milan · Serie A2–3
Milan — Udinese · Serie A0–1
Udinese — Milan · Serie A3–1
Milan — Udinese · Serie A4–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Udinese favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Milan in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Udinese32 matchesMilan32 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored32/32▲ 1.59 goals/match
1.44 goals/matchGoals allowed32/32▲ 1.16 goals/match
1.03 xG/matchExpected goals32/32▲ 1.75 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots32/32▲ 15.2 shots/match
3.75 shots/matchShots on target32/32▲ 5.44 shots/match
47.5%Possession32/32● 54.7%
4.69 corners/matchCorners32/32● 6 corners/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls32/3211 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 11 Apr 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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