Serie A · 2024

Bologna 1–0 Inter · Serie A

Bologna

WWWDL
1–0Historical match

Inter

WWWDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bologna won 1–0.

Shots
128
Shots on target
31
Expected goals
0.820.62
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bologna beat Inter 1–0. Recorded in this match (Bologna – Inter): shots 12–8, shots on target 3–1, expected goals 0.82–0.62, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Inter's recent record differs from the season

weak

Inter's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.18 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match2.18 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bologna have a visible home split

moderate

Bologna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.7 shots/match13.5 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots8 shotsBologna 12 shots, Inter 8 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots1 shotBologna 3 shots, Inter 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.82 xG0.62 xGBologna 0.82 xG, Inter 0.62 xG
  • Possession48%52%Bologna 48%, Inter 52%
  • Corners5 corners6 cornersBologna 5 corners, Inter 6 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls21 foulsBologna 12 fouls, Inter 21 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Dan Ndoye · Bologna · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Barella · Inter · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJuan Miranda · Bologna · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDan Ndoye · Bologna · 11′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJuan Miranda · Bologna · 19′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMichel Aebischer · Bologna · 27′ · 0.03 xG · on targetBenjamín Domínguez · Bologna · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 3′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJuan Miranda · Bologna · 10′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Augusto · Inter · 76′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJoaquín Correa · Inter · 53′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEmil Holm · Bologna · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetCarlos Augusto · Inter · 4′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Augusto · Inter · 31′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Bastoni · Inter · 34′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Cambiaghi · Bologna · 86′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 90′ · 0.09 xG · goalCarlos Augusto · Inter · 71′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedThijs Dallinga · Bologna · 28′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Fabbian · Bologna · 90′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bologna: 12 shots, 3 on target, 0.83 xG. Inter: 8 shots, 1 on target, 0.50 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Riccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bologna 0.83 xG · Inter 0.50 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Bologna
2Draws
2Inter
Inter — Bologna · Serie A2–2
Bologna — Inter · Serie A0–1
Inter — Bologna · Serie A2–2
Bologna — Inter · Serie A1–0
Inter — Bologna · Serie A6–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bologna favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Inter in 8

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bologna33 matchesInter33 matches
1.58 goals/matchGoals scored33/33▲ 2.18 goals/match
1.12 goals/matchGoals allowed33/33▲ 0.97 goals/match
1.33 xG/matchExpected goals33/33▲ 1.83 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShots33/33▲ 15.6 shots/match
4.82 shots/matchShots on target33/33▲ 5.18 shots/match
58.4%Possession33/33● 59.3%
4.61 corners/matchCorners33/33● 6.09 corners/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls33/3311.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Apr 2025, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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