PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Inter 1–0 Hellas Verona · Serie A

Inter

WDWLL
1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Inter won 1–0.

Shots
96
Shots on target
21
Expected goals
1.340.29
Possession
69%31%

Full time

What the match recorded

Inter beat Hellas Verona 1–0. Recorded in this match (Inter – Hellas Verona): shots 9–6, shots on target 2–1, expected goals 1.34–0.29, possession 69%–31%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Hellas Verona's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Hellas Verona's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.86 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.5 shots/match ▲ShotsInter · Hellas Verona9.91 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricInterHellas VeronaBaseline
Shots15.5 shots/match9.91 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against10.1 shots/match13.3 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Inter have recorded the higher season possession share.

59.9% ●PossessionInter · Hellas Verona38.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 21.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricInterHellas VeronaBaseline
Possession59.9%38.5%48.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots6 shotsInter 9 shots, Hellas Verona 6 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots1 shotInter 2 shots, Hellas Verona 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.34 xG0.29 xGInter 1.34 xG, Hellas Verona 0.29 xG
  • Possession69%31%Inter 69%, Hellas Verona 31%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersInter 4 corners, Hellas Verona 3 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls11 foulsInter 6 fouls, Hellas Verona 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Domagoj Bradarić · Hellas Verona · 4′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNicola Zalewski · Inter · 10′ · 0.01 xG · on targetOndrej Duda · Hellas Verona · 65′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFederico Dimarco · Inter · 79′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAmin Sarr · Hellas Verona · 16′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKristjan Asllani · Inter · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Suslov · Hellas Verona · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoaquín Correa · Inter · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPiotr Zieliński · Inter · 13′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJoaquín Correa · Inter · 26′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJackson Tchatchoua · Hellas Verona · 75′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedOndrej Duda · Hellas Verona · 56′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMarko Arnautović · Inter · 30′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMarko Arnautović · Inter · 45′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedKristjan Asllani · Inter · 9′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Inter: 9 shots, 2 on target, 1.36 xG. Hellas Verona: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.22 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Kristjan Asllani · Inter · 9′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Inter 1.36 xG · Hellas Verona 0.22 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Inter
1Draws
0Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona — Inter · Serie A0–5
Hellas Verona — Inter · Serie A2–2
Inter — Hellas Verona · Serie A2–1
Hellas Verona — Inter · Serie A0–6
Inter — Hellas Verona · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Inter favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Hellas Verona in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Inter35 matchesHellas Verona35 matches
2.09 goals/match ▲Goals scored35/350.86 goals/match
0.94 goals/match ▲Goals allowed35/351.8 goals/match
1.79 xG/match ▲Expected goals35/350.91 xG/match
15.5 shots/match ▲Shots35/359.91 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target35/352.6 shots/match
59.9% ●Possession35/3538.5%
5.97 corners/match ●Corners35/354.09 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls35/3514.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 May 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsInterHellas Verona
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headInter — Hellas Verona
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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