Serie A · 2024Sat, 3 May 2025, 18:45 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Inter

WDWLL

1–0Full-time recap

Hellas Verona

DDDLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Inter	Hellas Verona
Shots	9 shots/match▲	6 shots/match
Shots on target	2 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	1.34 xG/match▲	0.29 xG/match
Possession	69%●	31%
Corners	4 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	6 fouls/match	11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Inter: 9 shots, 2 on target, 1.36 xG. Hellas Verona: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.22 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Inter 1.36 xG · Hellas Verona 0.22 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Hellas Verona's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Hellas Verona's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Hellas Verona's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.86 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.2 goals/match	0.86 goals/match	1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.5 shots/match▲ShotsInter · Hellas Verona9.91 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Inter	Hellas Verona	Baseline
Shots	15.5 shots/match	9.91 shots/match	11.7 shots/match
Shots against	10.1 shots/match	13.3 shots/match	12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Inter have recorded the higher season possession share.

59.9%●PossessionInter · Hellas Verona38.5%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 21.3 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Inter	Hellas Verona	Baseline
Possession	59.9%	38.5%	48.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

4Inter

1Draws

0Hellas Verona

23 Nov 2024Hellas Verona — Inter · Serie A0–5

26 May 2024Hellas Verona — Inter · Serie A2–2

6 Jan 2024Inter — Hellas Verona · Serie A2–1

3 May 2023Hellas Verona — Inter · Serie A0–6

14 Jan 2023Inter — Hellas Verona · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Inter favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Hellas Verona in 0 · 2 too close

2.09 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 35/350.86 goals/match

0.94 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 35/351.8 goals/match

1.79 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 35/350.91 xG/match

0.89 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 35/351.47 xG/match

15.5 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 35/359.91 shots/match

10.1 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 35/3513.3 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 35/352.6 shots/match

3.49 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 35/354.66 shots/match

59.9%●Possessionseason · 35/3538.5%

5.97 corners/match●Cornersseason · 35/354.09 corners/match

3.69 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 35/355.06 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 35/3514.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

40%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 35/3523%

89%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 35/3551%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Inter97.5

Hellas Verona2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Inter91.7

Hellas Verona15.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Inter79.2

Hellas Verona19.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Inter87.5

Hellas Verona77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Inter22.5

Hellas Verona97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Inter92.5

Hellas Verona20

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Inter73.1

Hellas Verona34.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Inter35 matchesHellas Verona35 matches

2.09 goals/match▲Goals scored35/350.86 goals/match

0.94 goals/match▲Goals allowed35/351.8 goals/match

1.79 xG/match▲Expected goals35/350.91 xG/match

15.5 shots/match▲Shots35/359.91 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target35/352.6 shots/match

59.9%●Possession35/3538.5%

5.97 corners/match●Corners35/354.09 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.1 fouls/matchFouls35/3514.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Inter18 matchesHellas Verona18 matches

2.11 goals/match▲Goals scored18/180.94 goals/match

1.06 goals/match▲Goals allowed18/181.61 goals/match

1.8 xG/match▲Expected goals18/180.79 xG/match

16.8 shots/match▲Shots18/189 shots/match

5.33 shots/match▲Shots on target18/182.5 shots/match

61%●Possession18/1836.6%

7.11 corners/match●Corners18/183.33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.4 fouls/matchFouls18/1815.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.24 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples35 / 35home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 May 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4