Serie A · 2024

Bologna 1–3 Genoa · Serie A

Bologna

WDDLL
1–3Historical match

Genoa

LLLDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Genoa won 1–3.

Shots
165
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
0.631.17
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Genoa beat Bologna 3–1. Recorded in this match (Bologna – Genoa): shots 16–5, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 0.63–1.17, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Genoa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Genoa's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.97 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match0.97 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Genoa show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Genoa's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.4 shots/match ▲ShotsBologna · Genoa10.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBolognaGenoaBaseline
Shots13.4 shots/match10.1 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against8.42 shots/match12.6 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Bologna have recorded the higher season possession share.

58.7% ●PossessionBologna · Genoa45.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBolognaGenoaBaseline
Possession58.7%45.6%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots5 shotsBologna 16 shots, Genoa 5 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsBologna 5 shots, Genoa 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.63 xG1.17 xGBologna 0.63 xG, Genoa 1.17 xG
  • Possession60%40%Bologna 60%, Genoa 40%
  • Corners13 corners1 cornerBologna 13 corners, Genoa 1 corner
  • Fouls13 fouls23 foulsBologna 13 fouls, Genoa 23 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nicolò Cambiaghi · Bologna · 84′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDan Ndoye · Bologna · 2′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCharalampos Lykogiannis · Bologna · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTommaso Pobega · Bologna · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLewis Ferguson · Bologna · 4′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 7′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMichel Aebischer · Bologna · 23′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 77′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDan Ndoye · Bologna · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Cambiaghi · Bologna · 86′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLorenzo Venturino · Genoa · 26′ · 0.05 xG · goalTommaso Pobega · Bologna · 67′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJunior Messias · Genoa · 68′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJhon Lucumí · Bologna · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Genoa · 17′ · 0.08 xG · goalLorenzo De Silvestri · Bologna · 56′ · 0.09 xG · on targetNicolò Casale · Bologna · 90′ · 0.11 xG · on targetRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 64′ · 0.14 xG · goalLorenzo Venturino · Genoa · 43′ · 0.33 xG · goalKoni De Winter · Genoa · 86′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bologna: 16 shots, 5 on target, 0.74 xG. Genoa: 5 shots, 3 on target, 0.86 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Riccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 64′Vitinha · Genoa · 17′Lorenzo Venturino · Genoa · 26′Lorenzo Venturino · Genoa · 43′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bologna 0.74 xG · Genoa 0.86 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Bologna
3Draws
1Genoa
Genoa — Bologna · Serie A2–2
Genoa — Bologna · Serie A2–0
Bologna — Genoa · Serie A1–1
Genoa — Bologna · Serie A0–1
Bologna — Genoa · Serie A2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bologna favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Genoa in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bologna38 matchesGenoa38 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored38/380.97 goals/match
1.24 goals/matchGoals allowed38/381.29 goals/match
1.3 xG/match ▲Expected goals38/380.98 xG/match
13.4 shots/match ▲Shots38/3810.1 shots/match
4.58 shots/match ▲Shots on target38/383.21 shots/match
58.7% ●Possession38/3845.6%
4.97 corners/match ●Corners38/384.08 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls38/3813.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples38 / 38home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 May 2025, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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