PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Napoli 2–0 Cagliari · Serie A

Napoli

WWWDD
2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Napoli won 2–0.

Shots
184
Shots on target
61
Expected goals
2.50.11
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

Napoli beat Cagliari 2–0. Recorded in this match (Napoli – Cagliari): shots 18–4, shots on target 6–1, expected goals 2.5–0.11, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cagliari's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cagliari's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.05 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.05 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Napoli have a visible home split

moderate

Napoli's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Cagliari show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Cagliari's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.3 shots/match ▲ShotsNapoli · Cagliari11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNapoliCagliariBaseline
Shots13.3 shots/match11.2 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against9.58 shots/match13.2 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots4 shotsNapoli 18 shots, Cagliari 4 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots1 shotNapoli 6 shots, Cagliari 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.5 xG0.11 xGNapoli 2.5 xG, Cagliari 0.11 xG
  • Possession67%33%Napoli 67%, Cagliari 33%
  • Corners8 corners3 cornersNapoli 8 corners, Cagliari 3 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls14 foulsNapoli 14 fouls, Cagliari 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mathías Olivera · Napoli · 38′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLeonardo Spinazzola · Napoli · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRăzvan Marin · Cagliari · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGiacomo Raspadori · Napoli · 5′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGiacomo Raspadori · Napoli · 23′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNadir Zortea · Cagliari · 49′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYerry Mina · Cagliari · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Deiola · Cagliari · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGiacomo Raspadori · Napoli · 35′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFrank Anguissa · Napoli · 40′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRomelu Lukaku · Napoli · 25′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Politano · Napoli · 10′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedScott McTominay · Napoli · 15′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedRomelu Lukaku · Napoli · 3′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedLeonardo Spinazzola · Napoli · 39′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedDavid Neres · Napoli · 79′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedScott McTominay · Napoli · 42′ · 0.15 xG · goalBilly Gilmour · Napoli · 10′ · 0.18 xG · on targetLeonardo Spinazzola · Napoli · 39′ · 0.21 xG · on targetAmir Rrahmani · Napoli · 15′ · 0.25 xG · on targetRomelu Lukaku · Napoli · 51′ · 0.31 xG · goalDavid Neres · Napoli · 63′ · 0.54 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Napoli: 18 shots, 6 on target, 2.49 xG. Cagliari: 4 shots, 1 on target, 0.11 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Scott McTominay · Napoli · 42′Romelu Lukaku · Napoli · 51′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Napoli 2.49 xG · Cagliari 0.11 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Napoli
2Draws
0Cagliari
Cagliari — Napoli · Serie A0–4
Cagliari — Napoli · Serie A1–1
Napoli — Cagliari · Serie A2–1
Cagliari — Napoli · Serie A1–1
Napoli — Cagliari · Serie A2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Napoli favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Cagliari in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Napoli38 matchesCagliari38 matches
1.55 goals/match ▲Goals scored38/381.05 goals/match
0.71 goals/match ▲Goals allowed38/381.47 goals/match
1.42 xG/match ▲Expected goals38/381.12 xG/match
13.3 shots/match ▲Shots38/3811.2 shots/match
4.13 shots/match ▲Shots on target38/383.24 shots/match
54.6% ●Possession38/3844.7%
5.5 corners/match ●Corners38/384.76 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls38/3813.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples38 / 38home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 23 May 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNapoliCagliari
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headNapoli — Cagliari
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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