Serie A · 2024

Lazio 0–1 Lecce · Serie A

Lazio

WDWDD
0–1Historical match

Lecce

LDLDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lecce won 0–1.

Shots
269
Shots on target
73
Expected goals
1.640.42
Possession
72%28%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lecce beat Lazio 1–0. Recorded in this match (Lazio – Lecce): shots 26–9, shots on target 7–3, expected goals 1.64–0.42, possession 72%–28%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lazio's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lazio's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.61 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.61 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lazio show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Lazio's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.1 shots/match ▲ShotsLazio · Lecce11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLazioLecceBaseline
Shots14.1 shots/match11.9 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against10.1 shots/match14 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Lazio have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.1% ●PossessionLazio · Lecce43.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLazioLecceBaseline
Possession55.1%43.6%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots26 shots9 shotsLazio 26 shots, Lecce 9 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots3 shotsLazio 7 shots, Lecce 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.64 xG0.42 xGLazio 1.64 xG, Lecce 0.42 xG
  • Possession72%28%Lazio 72%, Lecce 28%
  • Corners14 corners4 cornersLazio 14 corners, Lecce 4 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls11 foulsLazio 11 fouls, Lecce 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kialonda Gaspar · Lecce · 3′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAntonino Gallo · Lecce · 23′ · 0.01 xG · on targetValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNuno Tavares · Lazio · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPedro · Lazio · 80′ · 0.02 xG · on targetValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 36′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFederico Baschirotto · Lecce · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMario Gila Fuentes · Lazio · 76′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTijjani Noslin · Lazio · 86′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKialonda Gaspar · Lecce · 4′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 52′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMedon Berisha · Lecce · 53′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPedro · Lazio · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBoulaye Dia · Lazio · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 78′ · 0.04 xG · on targetPedro · Lazio · 86′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFederico Baschirotto · Lecce · 41′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPedro · Lazio · 79′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAlessio Romagnoli · Lazio · 31′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMattéo Guendouzi · Lazio · 56′ · 0.06 xG · on targetElseid Hysaj · Lazio · 85′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 87′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFrédéric Guilbert · Lecce · 22′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedPedro · Lazio · 55′ · 0.07 xG · on targetPedro · Lazio · 58′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMatías Vecino · Lazio · 77′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 86′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlessio Romagnoli · Lazio · 81′ · 0.10 xG · on targetLassana Coulibaly · Lecce · 43′ · 0.11 xG · goalNicolò Rovella · Lazio · 60′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedElseid Hysaj · Lazio · 86′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedPedro · Lazio · 72′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 45′ · 0.13 xG · on targetBoulaye Dia · Lazio · 60′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 65′ · 0.31 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lazio: 26 shots, 7 on target, 1.96 xG. Lecce: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.40 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Lassana Coulibaly · Lecce · 43′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lazio 1.96 xG · Lecce 0.40 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Lazio
1Draws
2Lecce
Lecce — Lazio · Serie A1–2
Lazio — Lecce · Serie A1–0
Lecce — Lazio · Serie A2–1
Lazio — Lecce · Serie A2–2
Lecce — Lazio · Serie A2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lazio favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Lecce in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lazio38 matchesLecce38 matches
1.61 goals/match ▲Goals scored38/380.71 goals/match
1.29 goals/match ▲Goals allowed38/381.53 goals/match
1.51 xG/match ▲Expected goals38/380.92 xG/match
14.1 shots/match ▲Shots38/3811.9 shots/match
5.24 shots/match ▲Shots on target38/383.29 shots/match
55.1% ●Possession38/3843.6%
6.03 corners/match ●Corners38/384.34 corners/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls38/3812.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples38 / 38home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 May 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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