Serie A · 2024Sun, 25 May 2025, 18:45 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Udinese

LDWLL

2–3Full-time recap

Fiorentina

WWLLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Udinese	Fiorentina
Shots	12 shots/match	25 shots/match▲
Shots on target	3 shots/match	11 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.52 xG/match	2.97 xG/match▲
Possession	35%	65%●
Corners	2 corners/match	8 corners/match●
Fouls	15 fouls/match	6 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Udinese: 12 shots, 3 on target, 1.42 xG. Fiorentina: 25 shots, 11 on target, 2.72 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Udinese 1.42 xG · Fiorentina 2.72 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Udinese

1Draws

2Fiorentina

23 Dec 2024Fiorentina — Udinese · Serie A1–2

14 Jan 2024Fiorentina — Udinese · Serie A2–2

24 Sept 2023Udinese — Fiorentina · Serie A0–2

14 May 2023Fiorentina — Udinese · Serie A2–0

31 Aug 2022Udinese — Fiorentina · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Udinese favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Fiorentina in 10 · 3 too close

1.08 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 38/38▲1.58 goals/match

1.47 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 38/38▲1.08 goals/match

1.04 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 38/38▲1.3 xG/match

1.4 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 38/38▲1.12 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 38/3811.8 shots/match

13.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 38/38▲11.7 shots/match

3.76 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 38/38▲4.61 shots/match

4.47 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 38/38▲3.89 shots/match

47.3%Possessionseason · 38/38●50.5%

4.68 corners/match●Cornersseason · 38/383.89 corners/match

5.34 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 38/38▲4.13 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

14.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 38/3811.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

24%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 38/38▲32%

68%Scoring frequencyseason · 38/38▲79%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Udinese37.5

Fiorentina52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Udinese42.5

Fiorentina62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Udinese32.5

Fiorentina63.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Udinese42.5

Fiorentina27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Udinese87.5

Fiorentina37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Udinese57.5

Fiorentina12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Udinese57.5

Fiorentina40

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Udinese38 matchesFiorentina38 matches

1.08 goals/matchGoals scored38/38▲1.58 goals/match

1.47 goals/matchGoals allowed38/38▲1.08 goals/match

1.04 xG/matchExpected goals38/38▲1.3 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShots38/3811.8 shots/match

3.76 shots/matchShots on target38/38▲4.61 shots/match

47.3%Possession38/38●50.5%

4.68 corners/match●Corners38/383.89 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14.3 fouls/matchFouls38/3811.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Udinese19 matchesFiorentina19 matches

1.16 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲1.47 goals/match

1.42 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲1.21 goals/match

1.09 xG/matchExpected goals19/19▲1.18 xG/match

11.9 shots/matchShots19/1911.9 shots/match

3.84 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲4.58 shots/match

46.9%Possession19/19●53.2%

4.84 corners/match●Corners19/193.74 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14.8 fouls/matchFouls19/1911.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples38 / 38home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 May 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4