La Liga · 2023Sun, 17 Sept 2023, 19:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Real Madrid

WWWW

2–1Full-time recap

Real Sociedad

DDDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Real Madrid	Real Sociedad
Shots	17 shots/match▲	15 shots/match
Shots on target	8 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Expected goals	2 xG/match▲	1.59 xG/match
Possession	52%●	48%
Corners	4 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Real Madrid: 17 shots, 8 on target, 2.16 xG. Real Sociedad: 15 shots, 5 on target, 1.91 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Madrid 2.16 xG · Real Sociedad 1.91 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Real Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.4 shots/match▲ShotsReal Madrid · Real Sociedad12.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Real Madrid	Real Sociedad	Baseline
Shots	18.4 shots/match	12.8 shots/match	11.9 shots/match
Shots against	12.2 shots/match	11.8 shots/match	12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Real Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share.

60.4%●PossessionReal Madrid · Real Sociedad51.6%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.8 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Real Madrid	Real Sociedad	Baseline
Possession	60.4%	51.6%	49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Real Madrid

1Draws

1Real Sociedad

2 May 2023Real Sociedad — Real Madrid · La Liga2–0

29 Jan 2023Real Madrid — Real Sociedad · La Liga0–0

5 Mar 2022Real Madrid — Real Sociedad · La Liga4–1

4 Dec 2021Real Sociedad — Real Madrid · La Liga0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Real Madrid favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Real Sociedad in 0 · 3 too close

2 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 5/51.6 goals/match

0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 5/51.4 goals/match

1.84 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 5/51.34 xG/match

1 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 5/51.12 xG/match

18.4 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 5/512.8 shots/match

12.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 5/511.8 shots/match

8 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 5/53.2 shots/match

4 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 5/55 shots/match

60.4%●Possessionseason · 5/551.6%

6 corners/match●Cornersseason · 5/55 corners/match

3.6 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 5/54.4 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/518.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

40%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/520%

100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 5/580%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Madrid92.5

Real Sociedad62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Madrid94.2

Real Sociedad53.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Madrid67.5

Real Sociedad48.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Madrid87.5

Real Sociedad57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Madrid12.5

Real Sociedad92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Madrid82.5

Real Sociedad60

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Madrid72.5

Real Sociedad61.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Real Madrid5 matchesReal Sociedad5 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.6 goals/match

0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match

1.84 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.34 xG/match

18.4 shots/match▲Shots5/512.8 shots/match

8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.2 shots/match

60.4%●Possession5/551.6%

6 corners/match●Corners5/55 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.2 fouls/matchFouls5/518.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Real Madrid2 matchesReal Sociedad2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

15.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/115.3 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples5 / 5home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 Sept 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4