La Liga · 2023Sat, 21 Oct 2023, 12:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Real Sociedad

LWWWL

1–0Full-time recap

Mallorca

WLDDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Real Sociedad	Mallorca
Shots	14 shots/match	18 shots/match▲
Shots on target	6 shots/match	7 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.35 xG/match	1.95 xG/match▲
Possession	57%●	43%
Corners	2 corners/match	5 corners/match●
Fouls	14 fouls/match	16 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Real Sociedad: 14 shots, 6 on target, 1.36 xG. Mallorca: 18 shots, 6 on target, 2.13 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Sociedad 1.36 xG · Mallorca 2.13 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Mallorca's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Mallorca's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Mallorca's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.2 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.6 goals/match	1.2 goals/match	1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

strong

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

16.8 fouls/matchFoulsReal Sociedad · Mallorca17.2 fouls/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Real Sociedad	Mallorca	Baseline
Fouls	16.8 fouls/match	17.2 fouls/match	13.2 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Real Sociedad have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.3%●PossessionReal Sociedad · Mallorca39.5%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.8 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Real Sociedad	Mallorca	Baseline
Possession	55.3%	39.5%	49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Real Sociedad

1Draws

0Mallorca

12 Mar 2023Mallorca — Real Sociedad · La Liga1–1

19 Oct 2022Real Sociedad — Mallorca · La Liga1–0

2 Mar 2022Mallorca — Real Sociedad · La Liga0–2

16 Oct 2021Real Sociedad — Mallorca · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Real Sociedad favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Mallorca in 2 · 4 too close

1.8 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 10/101.2 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 10/101.6 goals/match

1.29 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 10/101.26 xG/match

1.35 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 10/101.55 xG/match

11.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 10/1010.5 shots/match

12.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 10/1013.4 shots/match

3.8 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 10/10▲4 shots/match

4.9 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 10/10▲4.4 shots/match

55.3%●Possessionseason · 10/1039.5%

4 corners/match●Cornersseason · 10/103.9 corners/match

3.6 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 10/104.9 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

16.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/1017.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

40%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/1020%

90%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 10/1070%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Sociedad77.5

Mallorca7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Sociedad45

Mallorca28.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Sociedad50.8

Mallorca35

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Sociedad7.5

Mallorca67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad82.5

Mallorca92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad27.5

Mallorca17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Sociedad41.9

Mallorca40

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Real Sociedad10 matchesMallorca10 matches

1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.2 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.6 goals/match

1.29 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.26 xG/match

11.1 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.5 shots/match

3.8 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4 shots/match

55.3%●Possession10/1039.5%

4 corners/match●Corners10/103.9 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

16.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1017.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Real Sociedad6 matchesMallorca6 matches

2.5 goals/match▲Goals scored6/61.5 goals/match

1.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/62 goals/match

1.49 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲1.74 xG/match

12.2 shots/matchShots6/611.7 shots/match

4.5 shots/matchShots on target6/64.5 shots/match

55.2%●Possession6/640.5%

4 corners/match●Corners6/63.33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

16 fouls/matchFouls6/618.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

12.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.8 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples10 / 10home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Oct 2023, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4