La Liga · 2023Sat, 11 Nov 2023, 13:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Rayo Vallecano

DDWDD

1–2Full-time recap

Girona FC

LWWWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Rayo Vallecano	Girona FC
Shots	22 shots/match▲	19 shots/match
Shots on target	9 shots/match▲	7 shots/match
Expected goals	1.74 xG/match	4.69 xG/match▲
Possession	46%	54%●
Corners	8 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	15 fouls/match	13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Rayo Vallecano: 22 shots, 9 on target, 1.76 xG. Girona FC: 19 shots, 6 on target, 4.98 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Rayo Vallecano 1.76 xG · Girona FC 4.98 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Rayo Vallecano's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: Girona FC's last-five shots average is above their season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Rayo Vallecano have a visible home split

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.7 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season13.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	16.7 shots/match	13.4 shots/match	12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Girona FC's recent record differs from the season

weak

Girona FC's last-five shots average is above their season average.

16.2 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	16.2 shots/match	13.8 shots/match	12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Girona FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Girona FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.4 shots/match▲ShotsRayo Vallecano · Girona FC13.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Rayo Vallecano	Girona FC	Baseline
Shots	13.4 shots/match	13.8 shots/match	12.2 shots/match
Shots against	14.9 shots/match	12.9 shots/match	12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Rayo Vallecano

2Draws

0Girona FC

18 Mar 2023Rayo Vallecano — Girona FC · La Liga2–2

29 Dec 2022Girona FC — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Rayo Vallecano favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Girona FC in 8 · 3 too close

1.15 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 13/13▲2.38 goals/match

1.31 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 13/13▲1.23 goals/match

1.38 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 13/13▲1.95 xG/match

1.75 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 13/13▲1.31 xG/match

13.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 13/1313.8 shots/match

14.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 13/13▲12.9 shots/match

5.54 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 13/135.15 shots/match

5.15 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 13/13▲4.15 shots/match

46.7%Possessionseason · 13/13●56.6%

4.15 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/13●5 corners/match

5.46 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 13/13▲4.38 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

16.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1313.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

46%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/1331%

69%Scoring frequencyseason · 13/13▲92%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Rayo Vallecano32.5

Girona FC82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Rayo Vallecano58.3

Girona FC79.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Rayo Vallecano31.7

Girona FC52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Rayo Vallecano77.5

Girona FC42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Rayo Vallecano82.5

Girona FC47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Rayo Vallecano32.5

Girona FC62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Rayo Vallecano65

Girona FC62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Rayo Vallecano13 matchesGirona FC13 matches

1.15 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲2.38 goals/match

1.31 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲1.23 goals/match

1.38 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲1.95 xG/match

13.4 shots/matchShots13/1313.8 shots/match

5.54 shots/match▲Shots on target13/135.15 shots/match

46.7%Possession13/13●56.6%

4.15 corners/matchCorners13/13●5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

16.3 fouls/matchFouls13/1313.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Rayo Vallecano6 matchesGirona FC7 matches

1.33 goals/matchGoals scored6/7▲2.29 goals/match

2.33 goals/matchGoals allowed6/7▲1.14 goals/match

1.57 xG/matchExpected goals6/7▲2.22 xG/match

16.7 shots/match▲Shots6/713.4 shots/match

6.83 shots/match▲Shots on target6/74.57 shots/match

52%Possession6/7●54.9%

5.33 corners/match●Corners6/74.71 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

16.3 fouls/matchFouls6/713.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.71 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples13 / 13home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Nov 2023, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4