PitchMath
La Liga · 2023

Atlético Madrid 3–1 Villarreal · La Liga

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atlético Madrid won 3–1.

Shots
2511
Shots on target
107
Expected goals
3.920.86
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Madrid beat Villarreal 3–1. Recorded in this match (Atlético Madrid – Villarreal): shots 25–11, shots on target 10–7, expected goals 3.92–0.86, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Villarreal have a visible away split

moderate

Villarreal's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.17 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.17 shots/match11.4 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Atlético Madrid's recent record differs from the season

weak

Atlético Madrid's last-five shots average is above their season average.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots15 shots/match12.9 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atlético Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Atlético Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAtlético Madrid · Villarreal11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtlético MadridVillarrealBaseline
Shots12.9 shots/match11.4 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against11.9 shots/match16.2 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots25 shots11 shotsAtlético Madrid 25 shots, Villarreal 11 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots7 shotsAtlético Madrid 10 shots, Villarreal 7 shots
  • Expected goals3.92 xG0.86 xGAtlético Madrid 3.92 xG, Villarreal 0.86 xG
  • Possession50%50%Atlético Madrid 50%, Villarreal 50%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersAtlético Madrid 6 corners, Villarreal 3 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls8 foulsAtlético Madrid 8 fouls, Villarreal 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Rodrigo De Paul · Atlético Madrid · 8′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlex Baena · Villarreal · 29′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlberto Moreno · Villarreal · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Lino · Atlético Madrid · 76′ · 0.02 xG · on targetÉtienne Capoue · Villarreal · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMario Hermoso · Atlético Madrid · 23′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo De Paul · Atlético Madrid · 37′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSaúl Ñíguez · Atlético Madrid · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRodrigo Riquelme · Atlético Madrid · 56′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRodrigo Riquelme · Atlético Madrid · 22′ · 0.04 xG · on targetÁlvaro Morata · Atlético Madrid · 37′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Riquelme · Atlético Madrid · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Villarreal · 20′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 40′ · 0.06 xG · on targetRodrigo Riquelme · Atlético Madrid · 52′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKoke · Atlético Madrid · 57′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRamón Terrats · Villarreal · 89′ · 0.06 xG · on targetGerard Moreno · Villarreal · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro Morata · Atlético Madrid · 12′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedYéremy Pino · Villarreal · 17′ · 0.07 xG · on targetÁlvaro Morata · Atlético Madrid · 39′ · 0.07 xG · on targetGerard Moreno · Villarreal · 49′ · 0.07 xG · on targetRodrigo Riquelme · Atlético Madrid · 53′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Lino · Atlético Madrid · 84′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKoke · Atlético Madrid · 7′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJosé María Giménez · Atlético Madrid · 57′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro Morata · Atlético Madrid · 45′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJorge Cuenca · Villarreal · 15′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedGerard Moreno · Villarreal · 20′ · 0.15 xG · goalAlexander Sørloth · Villarreal · 28′ · 0.22 xG · on targetÁlvaro Morata · Atlético Madrid · 54′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedSaúl Ñíguez · Atlético Madrid · 7′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro Morata · Atlético Madrid · 51′ · 0.35 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Lino · Atlético Madrid · 85′ · 0.44 xG · goalAxel Witsel · Atlético Madrid · 45′ · 0.56 xG · goalAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 80′ · 0.98 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Atlético Madrid: 25 shots, 10 on target, 3.95 xG. Villarreal: 11 shots, 7 on target, 0.86 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Axel Witsel · Atlético Madrid · 45′Antoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 80′Samuel Lino · Atlético Madrid · 85′Gerard Moreno · Villarreal · 20′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atlético Madrid 3.95 xG · Villarreal 0.86 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Atlético Madrid
3Draws
1Villarreal
Villarreal — Atlético Madrid · La Liga2–2
Atlético Madrid — Villarreal · La Liga0–2
Villarreal — Atlético Madrid · La Liga2–2
Atlético Madrid — Villarreal · La Liga2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Madrid favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Villarreal in 2

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Madrid12 matchesVillarreal13 matches
2.42 goals/match ▲Goals scored12/131.38 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed12/131.85 goals/match
1.93 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/131.29 xG/match
12.9 shots/match ▲Shots12/1311.4 shots/match
5.83 shots/match ▲Shots on target12/134.23 shots/match
51%Possession12/13● 54.5%
4.5 corners/matchCorners12/13● 5.46 corners/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls12/1313.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 13 Nov 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtlético MadridVillarreal
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2023/24
Head-to-headAtlético Madrid — Villarreal
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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