PitchMath
La Liga · 2023Mon, 4 Dec 2023, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

Cádiz

LDLLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCelta VigoCádiz
Shots26 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match▲1 shots/match
Expected goals2.44 xG/match▲0.26 xG/match
Possession68%●32%
Corners12 corners/match●1 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match18 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Óscar Mingueza · Celta Vigo · 37′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRubén Alcaraz · Cádiz · 67′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRenato Tapia · Celta Vigo · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Bamba · Celta Vigo · 86′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMihailo Ristić · Celta Vigo · 87′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJonathan Bamba · Celta Vigo · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 36′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedUnai Núñez · Celta Vigo · 63′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCarles Pérez · Celta Vigo · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJørgen Strand Larsen · Celta Vigo · 16′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedUnai Núñez · Celta Vigo · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Bamba · Celta Vigo · 65′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCarles Pérez · Celta Vigo · 88′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHugo Sotelo · Celta Vigo · 75′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Bamba · Celta Vigo · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 40′ · 0.07 xG · on targetIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 65′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Mingueza · Celta Vigo · 20′ · 0.09 xG · on targetJørgen Strand Larsen · Celta Vigo · 72′ · 0.10 xG · on targetJørgen Strand Larsen · Celta Vigo · 9′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJørgen Strand Larsen · Celta Vigo · 31′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedManuel Sánchez · Celta Vigo · 45′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 36′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedJørgen Strand Larsen · Celta Vigo · 26′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedLuca De La Torre · Celta Vigo · 83′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedChris Ramos · Cádiz · 16′ · 0.24 xG · goalJørgen Strand Larsen · Celta Vigo · 59′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedJørgen Strand Larsen · Celta Vigo · 57′ · 0.56 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Celta Vigo: 26 shots, 7 on target, 2.45 xG. Cádiz: 2 shots, 1 on target, 0.25 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Jørgen Strand Larsen · Celta Vigo · 57′Chris Ramos · Cádiz · 16′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Celta Vigo 2.45 xG · Cádiz 0.25 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Cádiz's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Celta Vigo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Cádiz have a visible away split

moderate

Cádiz's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

5.88 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season8.53 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots5.88 shots/match8.53 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Celta Vigo show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Celta Vigo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.4 shots/match▲ShotsCelta Vigo · Cádiz8.53 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCelta VigoCádizBaseline
Shots14.4 shots/match8.53 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against11.9 shots/match15.7 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Celta Vigo
1Draws
2Cádiz
Cádiz — Celta Vigo · La Liga1–0
Celta Vigo — Cádiz · La Liga3–0
Cádiz — Celta Vigo · La Liga0–0
Celta Vigo — Cádiz · La Liga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Celta Vigo favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Cádiz in 2 · 3 too close

1 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 15/150.8 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 15/15▲1.47 goals/match
1.44 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 15/150.79 xG/match
1.47 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 15/151.49 xG/match
14.4 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 15/158.53 shots/match
11.9 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 15/1515.7 shots/match
4.33 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 15/152.87 shots/match
4.67 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 15/155.53 shots/match
44.8%●Possessionseason · 15/1538.2%
5.87 corners/match●Cornersseason · 15/153.6 corners/match
4.8 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 15/155.67 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
11.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 15/1516.5 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
7%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 15/15▲13%
60%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 15/1553%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Celta Vigo27.5
Cádiz2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Celta Vigo52.5
Cádiz2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Celta Vigo35.8
Cádiz15
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Celta Vigo97.5
Cádiz17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Celta Vigo27.5
Cádiz85
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Celta Vigo85
Cádiz12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Celta Vigo61.9
Cádiz25.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Celta Vigo15 matchesCádiz15 matches
1 goals/match▲Goals scored15/150.8 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲1.47 goals/match
1.44 xG/match▲Expected goals15/150.79 xG/match
14.4 shots/match▲Shots15/158.53 shots/match
4.33 shots/match▲Shots on target15/152.87 shots/match
44.8%●Possession15/1538.2%
5.87 corners/match●Corners15/153.6 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.9 fouls/matchFouls15/1516.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Celta Vigo8 matchesCádiz8 matches
0.63 goals/matchGoals scored8/80.63 goals/match
1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/81.75 goals/match
1.59 xG/match▲Expected goals8/80.53 xG/match
16.4 shots/match▲Shots8/85.88 shots/match
4.13 shots/match▲Shots on target8/82.5 shots/match
51.8%●Possession8/835.4%
7.25 corners/match●Corners8/83.25 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
12.5 fouls/matchFouls8/816.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

9.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 5 Dec 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsCelta VigoCádiz
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match