La Liga · 2023Sat, 9 Dec 2023, 17:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Villarreal

WLLWD

0–3Full-time recap

Real Sociedad

DLWWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Villarreal	Real Sociedad
Shots	20 shots/match▲	16 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match	5 shots/match▲
Expected goals	2.29 xG/match▲	1.47 xG/match
Possession	52%●	48%
Corners	5 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	10 fouls/match	22 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Villarreal: 20 shots, 4 on target, 2.30 xG. Real Sociedad: 16 shots, 5 on target, 1.47 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Villarreal 2.30 xG · Real Sociedad 1.47 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Villarreal's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: Real Sociedad's last-five shots average is above their season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Villarreal have a visible home split

moderate

Villarreal's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.7 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	13.7 shots/match	11.4 shots/match	12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Real Sociedad's recent record differs from the season

weak

Real Sociedad's last-five shots average is above their season average.

15 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.6 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	15 shots/match	12.6 shots/match	12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Sociedad show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Real Sociedad's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.4 shots/match▲ShotsVillarreal · Real Sociedad12.6 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Villarreal	Real Sociedad	Baseline
Shots	11.4 shots/match	12.6 shots/match	12.8 shots/match
Shots against	16.2 shots/match	12.5 shots/match	12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Villarreal

0Draws

2Real Sociedad

2 Apr 2023Villarreal — Real Sociedad · La Liga2–0

9 Oct 2022Real Sociedad — Villarreal · La Liga1–0

15 May 2022Villarreal — Real Sociedad · La Liga1–2

18 Dec 2021Real Sociedad — Villarreal · La Liga1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Villarreal favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Real Sociedad in 9 · 4 too close

1.38 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 16/16▲1.81 goals/match

1.81 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/16▲1.13 goals/match

1.42 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 16/161.39 xG/match

1.74 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 16/16▲1.24 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 16/16▲12.6 shots/match

16.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/16▲12.5 shots/match

4.13 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 16/16▲4.44 shots/match

6.31 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 16/16▲4.44 shots/match

53.1%Possessionseason · 16/16●54.4%

5.13 corners/match●Cornersseason · 16/164.56 corners/match

4.75 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 16/16▲3.63 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1617.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

13%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/16▲31%

88%Scoring frequencyseason · 16/1688%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Villarreal67.5

Real Sociedad72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Villarreal50

Real Sociedad57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Villarreal5.8

Real Sociedad52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Villarreal12.5

Real Sociedad32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Villarreal42.5

Real Sociedad97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Villarreal67.5

Real Sociedad47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Villarreal48.1

Real Sociedad61.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Villarreal16 matchesReal Sociedad16 matches

1.38 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲1.81 goals/match

1.81 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲1.13 goals/match

1.42 xG/matchExpected goals16/161.39 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShots16/16▲12.6 shots/match

4.13 shots/matchShots on target16/16▲4.44 shots/match

53.1%Possession16/16●54.4%

5.13 corners/match●Corners16/164.56 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.9 fouls/matchFouls16/1617.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Villarreal9 matchesReal Sociedad8 matches

1.56 goals/matchGoals scored9/81.5 goals/match

2.11 goals/matchGoals allowed9/8▲1 goals/match

1.67 xG/match▲Expected goals9/81.46 xG/match

13.7 shots/matchShots9/813 shots/match

4.22 shots/match▲Shots on target9/83.75 shots/match

54.4%Possession9/8●54.9%

6 corners/match●Corners9/84.63 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.4 fouls/matchFouls9/817.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.9 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples16 / 16home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 Dec 2023, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4