La Liga · 2023

Atlético Madrid 1–0 Sevilla · La Liga

1–0Historical match

Sevilla

LDLLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atlético Madrid won 1–0.

Shots
128
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
0.930.32
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Madrid beat Sevilla 1–0. Recorded in this match (Atlético Madrid – Sevilla): shots 12–8, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 0.93–0.32, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atlético Madrid's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atlético Madrid's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match2 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Atlético Madrid, Sevilla.

3.78 days ▲Rest daysAtlético Madrid · Sevilla3.78 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAtlético MadridSevillaBaseline
Rest days3.78 days3.78 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Atlético Madrid have a visible home split

moderate

Atlético Madrid's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.5 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots8 shotsAtlético Madrid 12 shots, Sevilla 8 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsAtlético Madrid 4 shots, Sevilla 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.93 xG0.32 xGAtlético Madrid 0.93 xG, Sevilla 0.32 xG
  • Possession50%50%Atlético Madrid 50%, Sevilla 50%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersAtlético Madrid 6 corners, Sevilla 5 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls19 foulsAtlético Madrid 12 fouls, Sevilla 19 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Antoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 23′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 26′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIvan Rakitić · Sevilla · 2′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Lino · Atlético Madrid · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLucas Ocampos · Sevilla · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Lino · Atlético Madrid · 86′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 19′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSergio Ramos · Sevilla · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarcos Llorente · Atlético Madrid · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLucas Ocampos · Sevilla · 7′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRodrigo Riquelme · Atlético Madrid · 24′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKike Salas · Sevilla · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedÓliver Torres · Sevilla · 64′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSergio Ramos · Sevilla · 79′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 7′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLucas Ocampos · Sevilla · 63′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 67′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMarcos Llorente · Atlético Madrid · 46′ · 0.16 xG · goalÁlvaro Morata · Atlético Madrid · 2′ · 0.18 xG · on targetMarcos Llorente · Atlético Madrid · 90′ · 0.27 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Atlético Madrid: 12 shots, 4 on target, 0.93 xG. Sevilla: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.33 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Marcos Llorente · Atlético Madrid · 46′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atlético Madrid 0.93 xG · Sevilla 0.33 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Atlético Madrid
1Draws
1Sevilla
Atlético Madrid — Sevilla · La Liga6–1
Sevilla — Atlético Madrid · La Liga0–2
Atlético Madrid — Sevilla · La Liga1–1
Sevilla — Atlético Madrid · La Liga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Madrid favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Sevilla in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Madrid18 matchesSevilla18 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/181.28 goals/match
1.06 goals/match ▲Goals allowed18/181.39 goals/match
1.73 xG/match ▲Expected goals18/181.06 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots18/18▲ 15.3 shots/match
5.11 shots/match ▲Shots on target18/184.83 shots/match
51.7%Possession18/18● 55.1%
4.44 corners/matchCorners18/18● 6.28 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls18/1813.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 Dec 2023, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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