La Liga · 2023Fri, 12 Jan 2024, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Sevilla

LLWLL

2–3Full-time recap

Deportivo Alavés

DLLLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Sevilla	Deportivo Alavés
Shots	19 shots/match▲	16 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match	8 shots/match▲
Expected goals	2.2 xG/match▲	1.99 xG/match
Possession	68%●	32%
Corners	5 corners/match●	4 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Sevilla: 19 shots, 4 on target, 2.24 xG. Deportivo Alavés: 16 shots, 8 on target, 2.00 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sevilla 2.24 xG · Deportivo Alavés 2.00 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sevilla's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Sevilla have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Sevilla's recent record differs from the season

weak

Sevilla's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goals/match	1.25 goals/match	1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Sevilla have recorded the higher season possession share.

56%●PossessionSevilla · Deportivo Alavés41.8%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.2 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Sevilla	Deportivo Alavés	Baseline
Possession	56%	41.8%	49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Sevilla

2Draws

1Deportivo Alavés

21 Aug 2023Deportivo Alavés — Sevilla · La Liga4–3

4 Mar 2022Deportivo Alavés — Sevilla · La Liga0–0

20 Nov 2021Sevilla — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Sevilla favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Deportivo Alavés in 6 · 3 too close

1.25 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 20/200.9 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 20/20▲1.35 goals/match

1.1 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 20/20▲1.25 xG/match

1.45 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 20/20▲1.21 xG/match

15.3 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 20/2012.8 shots/match

12.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 20/20▲11.3 shots/match

4.65 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 20/203.85 shots/match

4.4 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 20/20▲3.9 shots/match

56%●Possessionseason · 20/2041.8%

6.15 corners/match●Cornersseason · 20/204.6 corners/match

4.55 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 20/20▲3.8 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 20/2013.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

15%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 20/2015%

70%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 20/2055%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sevilla77.5

Deportivo Alavés7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sevilla70.8

Deportivo Alavés37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sevilla45.8

Deportivo Alavés65.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sevilla72.5

Deportivo Alavés92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sevilla42.5

Deportivo Alavés52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sevilla87.5

Deportivo Alavés47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sevilla71.2

Deportivo Alavés48.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Sevilla20 matchesDeportivo Alavés20 matches

1.25 goals/match▲Goals scored20/200.9 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed20/20▲1.35 goals/match

1.1 xG/matchExpected goals20/20▲1.25 xG/match

15.3 shots/match▲Shots20/2012.8 shots/match

4.65 shots/match▲Shots on target20/203.85 shots/match

56%●Possession20/2041.8%

6.15 corners/match●Corners20/204.6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.8 fouls/matchFouls20/2013.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Sevilla11 matchesDeportivo Alavés11 matches

1.36 goals/match▲Goals scored11/110.73 goals/match

1.64 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲1.45 goals/match

1.39 xG/match▲Expected goals11/111.09 xG/match

16.9 shots/match▲Shots11/1111.8 shots/match

5.09 shots/match▲Shots on target11/113.73 shots/match

55.8%●Possession11/1141.5%

7 corners/match●Corners11/113.82 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.3 fouls/matchFouls11/1112.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.07 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/110.1 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples20 / 20home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Jan 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4