PitchMath
La Liga · 2023

Cádiz 1–4 Valencia · La Liga

Cádiz

DDDDL
1–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Valencia won 1–4.

Shots
109
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
1.191.93
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Valencia beat Cádiz 4–1. Recorded in this match (Cádiz – Valencia): shots 10–9, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 1.19–1.93, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Valencia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Valencia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.3 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.3 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cádiz show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Cádiz's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.4 shots/match ▲ShotsCádiz · Valencia9.75 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCádizValenciaBaseline
Shots9.4 shots/match9.75 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against14.4 shots/match9.7 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Cádiz have a visible home split

moderate

Cádiz's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season9.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match9.4 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots9 shotsCádiz 10 shots, Valencia 9 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsCádiz 2 shots, Valencia 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.19 xG1.93 xGCádiz 1.19 xG, Valencia 1.93 xG
  • Possession57%43%Cádiz 57%, Valencia 43%
  • Corners3 corners1 cornerCádiz 3 corners, Valencia 1 corner
  • Fouls15 fouls15 foulsCádiz 15 fouls, Valencia 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Rubén Alcaraz · Cádiz · 47′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSergi Canós · Valencia · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChris Ramos · Cádiz · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHugo Duro · Valencia · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJavier Hernández · Cádiz · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRubén Alcaraz · Cádiz · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSergi Canós · Valencia · 61′ · 0.03 xG · on targetIván Alejo · Cádiz · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSergi Canós · Valencia · 34′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIván Alejo · Cádiz · 87′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRubén Alcaraz · Cádiz · 17′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRobert Navarro · Cádiz · 41′ · 0.06 xG · on targetDiego López · Valencia · 77′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedChris Ramos · Cádiz · 78′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedDiego López · Valencia · 52′ · 0.27 xG · goalJavier Guerra · Valencia · 90′ · 0.44 xG · goalHugo Duro · Valencia · 8′ · 0.54 xG · goalJesús Vázquez · Valencia · 90′ · 0.54 xG · goalRubén Alcaraz · Cádiz · 21′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Cádiz: 10 shots, 2 on target, 1.21 xG. Valencia: 9 shots, 5 on target, 1.96 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Rubén Alcaraz · Cádiz · 21′Hugo Duro · Valencia · 8′Diego López · Valencia · 52′Javier Guerra · Valencia · 90′Jesús Vázquez · Valencia · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Cádiz 1.21 xG · Valencia 1.96 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Cádiz
2Draws
1Valencia
Valencia — Cádiz · La Liga2–0
Cádiz — Valencia · La Liga2–1
Valencia — Cádiz · La Liga0–1
Valencia — Cádiz · La Liga0–0
Cádiz — Valencia · La Liga0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cádiz favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Valencia in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cádiz20 matchesValencia20 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored20/20▲ 1.3 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed20/20▲ 1.2 goals/match
0.87 xG/matchExpected goals20/20▲ 1.11 xG/match
9.4 shots/matchShots20/209.75 shots/match
2.95 shots/matchShots on target20/20▲ 3.65 shots/match
39.7%Possession20/20● 44.7%
3.9 corners/match ●Corners20/203.05 corners/match
16.1 fouls/matchFouls20/2013.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 14 Jan 2024, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCádizValencia
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2023/24
Head-to-headCádiz — Valencia
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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