La Liga · 2023Sun, 3 Mar 2024, 17:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Mallorca

LLWLD

1–0Full-time recap

Girona FC

WDLLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Mallorca	Girona FC
Shots	16 shots/match▲	15 shots/match
Shots on target	2 shots/match	4 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.26 xG/match▲	1.01 xG/match
Possession	40%	60%●
Corners	8 corners/match●	5 corners/match
Fouls	19 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Mallorca: 16 shots, 1 on target, 1.22 xG. Girona FC: 15 shots, 4 on target, 1.00 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Mallorca 1.22 xG · Girona FC 1.00 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Girona FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Girona FC have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Girona FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Girona FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.11 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goals/match	2.11 goals/match	1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Girona FC have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.7%PossessionMallorca · Girona FC●56.9%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.2 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Mallorca	Girona FC	Baseline
Possession	43.7%	56.9%	49.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Mallorca

1Draws

2Girona FC

23 Sept 2023Girona FC — Mallorca · La Liga5–3

4 May 2023Girona FC — Mallorca · La Liga2–1

3 Sept 2022Mallorca — Girona FC · La Liga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Mallorca favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Girona FC in 6 · 4 too close

0.89 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 27/27▲2.11 goals/match

1.26 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 27/271.22 goals/match

1.1 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 27/27▲1.72 xG/match

1.25 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 27/271.41 xG/match

10.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 27/27▲12.7 shots/match

13 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 27/2713.9 shots/match

3.41 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 27/27▲4.96 shots/match

3.85 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 27/274.48 shots/match

43.7%Possessionseason · 27/27●56.9%

4.52 corners/match●Cornersseason · 27/274.41 corners/match

4.56 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 27/274.48 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

15.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 27/2711.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

26%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 27/27▲33%

59%Scoring frequencyseason · 27/27▲81%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Mallorca22.5

Girona FC82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Mallorca15.8

Girona FC80

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Mallorca50

Girona FC37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Mallorca47.5

Girona FC12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Mallorca80

Girona FC22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Mallorca42.5

Girona FC37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Mallorca39.4

Girona FC50.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Mallorca27 matchesGirona FC27 matches

0.89 goals/matchGoals scored27/27▲2.11 goals/match

1.26 goals/matchGoals allowed27/271.22 goals/match

1.1 xG/matchExpected goals27/27▲1.72 xG/match

10.9 shots/matchShots27/27▲12.7 shots/match

3.41 shots/matchShots on target27/27▲4.96 shots/match

43.7%Possession27/27●56.9%

4.52 corners/match●Corners27/274.41 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

15.5 fouls/matchFouls27/2711.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Mallorca14 matchesGirona FC14 matches

0.93 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲1.71 goals/match

0.86 goals/match▲Goals allowed14/141.36 goals/match

0.87 xG/matchExpected goals14/14▲1.74 xG/match

10.9 shots/matchShots14/14▲12.4 shots/match

3.5 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲4.29 shots/match

46.3%Possession14/14●55.2%

5.64 corners/match●Corners14/144.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14.7 fouls/matchFouls14/1411.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.9 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples27 / 27home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 Mar 2024, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4