La Liga · 2023Sun, 17 Mar 2024, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Atlético Madrid

LWDWL

0–3Full-time recap

Barcelona

DWWDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Atlético Madrid	Barcelona
Shots	13 shots/match▲	9 shots/match
Shots on target	3 shots/match	5 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.78 xG/match	1.54 xG/match▲
Possession	41%	59%●
Corners	7 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	15 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Atlético Madrid: 13 shots, 3 on target, 0.80 xG. Barcelona: 9 shots, 5 on target, 1.52 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atlético Madrid 0.80 xG · Barcelona 1.52 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Barcelona's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Barcelona have a visible away split

moderate

Barcelona's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

13.1 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season15.7 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	13.1 shots/match	15.7 shots/match	12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Barcelona show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.6 shots/match▲ShotsAtlético Madrid · Barcelona15.7 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Atlético Madrid	Barcelona	Baseline
Shots	12.6 shots/match	15.7 shots/match	12.2 shots/match
Shots against	12.6 shots/match	10.7 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share.

51%PossessionAtlético Madrid · Barcelona●64.7%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.7 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Atlético Madrid	Barcelona	Baseline
Possession	51%	64.7%	49.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Atlético Madrid

0Draws

4Barcelona

3 Dec 2023Barcelona — Atlético Madrid · La Liga1–0

23 Apr 2023Barcelona — Atlético Madrid · La Liga1–0

8 Jan 2023Atlético Madrid — Barcelona · La Liga0–1

6 Feb 2022Barcelona — Atlético Madrid · La Liga4–2

2 Oct 2021Atlético Madrid — Barcelona · La Liga2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Atlético Madrid favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Barcelona in 9 · 4 too close

1.86 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 29/29▲2.07 goals/match

1.17 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 29/291.17 goals/match

1.74 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 29/29▲2.18 xG/match

1.08 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 29/291.03 xG/match

12.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 29/29▲15.7 shots/match

12.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 29/29▲10.7 shots/match

5.69 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 29/29▲6.14 shots/match

4.03 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 29/29▲3.69 shots/match

51%Possessionseason · 29/29●64.7%

4.66 corners/matchCornersseason · 29/29●6.07 corners/match

5.28 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 29/29▲3.93 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 29/2910.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

31%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 29/29▲41%

76%Scoring frequencyseason · 29/29▲93%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Atlético Madrid67.5

Barcelona97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Atlético Madrid76.7

Barcelona92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Atlético Madrid55.8

Barcelona75.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Atlético Madrid52.5

Barcelona42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Atlético Madrid17.5

Barcelona7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Atlético Madrid52.5

Barcelona92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Atlético Madrid54.4

Barcelona71.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Atlético Madrid29 matchesBarcelona29 matches

1.86 goals/matchGoals scored29/29▲2.07 goals/match

1.17 goals/matchGoals allowed29/291.17 goals/match

1.74 xG/matchExpected goals29/29▲2.18 xG/match

12.6 shots/matchShots29/29▲15.7 shots/match

5.69 shots/matchShots on target29/29▲6.14 shots/match

51%Possession29/29●64.7%

4.66 corners/matchCorners29/29●6.07 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.1 fouls/matchFouls29/2910.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Atlético Madrid15 matchesBarcelona14 matches

2.27 goals/match▲Goals scored15/141.93 goals/match

1.07 goals/matchGoals allowed15/141.07 goals/match

2.11 xG/match▲Expected goals15/141.97 xG/match

13.9 shots/match▲Shots15/1413.1 shots/match

5.93 shots/match▲Shots on target15/145.29 shots/match

49.7%Possession15/14●64.6%

4.27 corners/matchCorners15/14●5.14 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.8 fouls/matchFouls15/1410.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/19 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples29 / 29home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Mon, 18 Mar 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4