La Liga · 2023Sun, 19 May 2024, 17:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Athletic Club

DLWDL

2–0Full-time recap

Sevilla

WDWLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Athletic Club	Sevilla
Shots	15 shots/match▲	9 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	1.57 xG/match▲	0.87 xG/match
Possession	53%●	47%
Corners	8 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	5 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Athletic Club: 15 shots, 6 on target, 1.51 xG. Sevilla: 9 shots, 4 on target, 0.84 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Athletic Club 1.51 xG · Sevilla 0.84 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Athletic Club, Sevilla. A second useful context is: Sevilla's last-five shots average is below their season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Athletic Club, Sevilla.

3.88 days▲Rest daysAthletic Club · Sevilla3.98 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Athletic Club	Sevilla	Baseline
Rest days	3.88 days	3.98 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	3 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Sevilla's recent record differs from the season

weak

Sevilla's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.4 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	10.4 shots/match	12.8 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Athletic Club have a visible home split

moderate

Athletic Club's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.2 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season12.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	14.2 shots/match	12.3 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Athletic Club

1Draws

3Sevilla

4 Jan 2024Sevilla — Athletic Club · La Liga0–2

27 Apr 2023Athletic Club — Sevilla · La Liga0–1

8 Oct 2022Sevilla — Athletic Club · La Liga1–1

22 May 2022Sevilla — Athletic Club · La Liga1–0

11 Dec 2021Athletic Club — Sevilla · La Liga0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Athletic Club favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Sevilla in 0 · 4 too close

1.62 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 37/371.27 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 37/371.41 goals/match

1.41 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 37/371.18 xG/match

1.1 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 37/371.5 xG/match

12.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 37/3712.8 shots/match

10.6 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 37/3713.2 shots/match

4.59 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 37/374.24 shots/match

3.65 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 37/374.7 shots/match

50.2%Possessionseason · 37/37●50.6%

5.59 corners/match●Cornersseason · 37/374.7 corners/match

4.14 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 37/375.16 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

13.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 37/3712.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

46%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 37/3722%

76%Scoring frequencyseason · 37/3773%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Athletic Club57.5

Sevilla62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Athletic Club67.5

Sevilla65.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Athletic Club88.3

Sevilla21.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Athletic Club42.5

Sevilla62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Athletic Club62.5

Sevilla42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Athletic Club85

Sevilla62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Athletic Club69.4

Sevilla61.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Athletic Club37 matchesSevilla37 matches

1.62 goals/match▲Goals scored37/371.27 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed37/371.41 goals/match

1.41 xG/match▲Expected goals37/371.18 xG/match

12.3 shots/matchShots37/3712.8 shots/match

4.59 shots/match▲Shots on target37/374.24 shots/match

50.2%Possession37/37●50.6%

5.59 corners/match●Corners37/374.7 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.5 fouls/matchFouls37/3712.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Athletic Club19 matchesSevilla19 matches

2.21 goals/match▲Goals scored19/191.11 goals/match

0.95 goals/match▲Goals allowed19/191.42 goals/match

1.85 xG/match▲Expected goals19/190.99 xG/match

14.2 shots/match▲Shots19/1911 shots/match

6.05 shots/match▲Shots on target19/193.63 shots/match

52.7%●Possession19/1949%

5.95 corners/match●Corners19/194.11 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13 fouls/matchFouls19/1912.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.88 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.98 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples37 / 37home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 May 2024, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4