La Liga · 2023Sun, 26 May 2024, 14:15 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Celta Vigo

LWLWW

2–2Full-time recap

Valencia

LLDLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Celta Vigo	Valencia
Shots	9 shots/match	12 shots/match▲
Shots on target	4 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	1.53 xG/match	2.13 xG/match▲
Possession	54%●	46%
Corners	2 corners/match	2 corners/match
Fouls	18 fouls/match	18 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Celta Vigo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Celta Vigo's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Celta Vigo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Celta Vigo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.21 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.8 goals/match	1.21 goals/match	1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Celta Vigo have a visible home split

moderate

Celta Vigo's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.8 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season12.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	14.8 shots/match	12.4 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Celta Vigo, Valencia.

6.89 days▲Rest daysCelta Vigo · Valencia6.89 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Celta Vigo	Valencia	Baseline
Rest days	6.89 days	6.89 days	—
Matches last 14 days	3 matches	3 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Celta Vigo

1Draws

4Valencia

25 Nov 2023Valencia — Celta Vigo · La Liga0–0

14 May 2023Celta Vigo — Valencia · La Liga1–2

17 Sept 2022Valencia — Celta Vigo · La Liga3–0

21 May 2022Valencia — Celta Vigo · La Liga2–0

5 Dec 2021Celta Vigo — Valencia · La Liga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Celta Vigo favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Valencia in 4 · 5 too close

1.21 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 38/381.05 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 38/38▲1.18 goals/match

1.35 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 38/381.14 xG/match

1.45 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 38/38▲1.26 xG/match

12.4 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 38/389.92 shots/match

12.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 38/38▲10.9 shots/match

4.18 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 38/383.5 shots/match

4.39 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 38/384.26 shots/match

46.2%●Possessionseason · 38/3843.9%

4.76 corners/match●Cornersseason · 38/383.26 corners/match

5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 38/384.79 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 38/3812.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

16%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 38/38▲34%

66%Scoring frequencyseason · 38/3866%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Celta Vigo37.5

Valencia12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Celta Vigo53.3

Valencia19.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Celta Vigo30.8

Valencia61.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Celta Vigo87.5

Valencia17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Celta Vigo32.5

Valencia50

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Celta Vigo67.5

Valencia2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Celta Vigo51.9

Valencia19.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Celta Vigo38 matchesValencia38 matches

1.21 goals/match▲Goals scored38/381.05 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed38/38▲1.18 goals/match

1.35 xG/match▲Expected goals38/381.14 xG/match

12.4 shots/match▲Shots38/389.92 shots/match

4.18 shots/match▲Shots on target38/383.5 shots/match

46.2%●Possession38/3843.9%

4.76 corners/match●Corners38/383.26 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.2 fouls/matchFouls38/3812.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Celta Vigo19 matchesValencia19 matches

1.11 goals/matchGoals scored19/191.05 goals/match

1.21 goals/match▲Goals allowed19/191.63 goals/match

1.63 xG/match▲Expected goals19/190.97 xG/match

14.8 shots/match▲Shots19/198.47 shots/match

4.63 shots/match▲Shots on target19/193.16 shots/match

49.3%●Possession19/1940.6%

5.79 corners/match●Corners19/192.42 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.6 fouls/matchFouls19/1912.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.89 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.89 days

3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples38 / 38home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 May 2024, 18:15 UTC · analysis-v4